Recanatese vs Foligno Calcio: result 4-1 and analysis
Serie D - Girone FGroup F - 3Kick-off on September 16, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Stadio Nicola Tubaldi, Recanati
Full time
What was the result of Recanatese vs Foligno Calcio?
Recanatese won 4-1 on September 16, 2026.
Goalscorers
- 9′F. CasollaRecanatese
- 16′577636Recanatese
- 45′680397Foligno Calcio
- 68′Alex GinardRecanatese
- 88′682303Recanatese
What had the model predicted before the match?
Before kick-off, the Footlab AI model gave a Foligno Calcio win at 37%: prediction missed. Most likely score announced: 1-1. Actual score: 4-1.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Recanatese have 4 wins, 5 draws and 6 defeats; Foligno Calcio have 5, 3 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 12, 2026 | Santegidiese(away) | 1-1 | Serie D - Girone F |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Pietralunga(home) | 0-0 | Serie D - Girone F |
| May 17, 2026 | Victor San Marino(home) | 4-1 | Serie D - Girone F |
| May 3, 2026 | Fossombrone(home) | 2-0 | Serie D - Girone F |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Teramo(away) | 2-2 | Serie D - Girone F |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 12, 2026 | Pietralunga(away) | 1-0 | Serie D - Girone F |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Lanciano FC(home) | 2-1 | Serie D - Girone F |
| May 3, 2026 | Cannara(home) | 1-0 | Serie D - Girone E |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Seravezza(away) | 0-0 | Serie D - Girone E |
| Apr 19, 2026 | San Donato Tavarnelle(away) | 0-1 | Serie D - Girone E |
How many goals should we expect?
Recanatese score 1.3 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Foligno Calcio score 0.7 and concede 0.9.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Recanatese | 1.3 | 1.5 | 4 | 10/15 | 8/15 |
| Foligno Calcio | 0.7 | 0.9 | 7 | 3/15 | 3/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Recanatese sit 15th in Serie D - Girone F (6 points from 7 matches) and Foligno Calcio sit 3rd (16 points from 7 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Foligno Calcio | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 6 | 16 |
| 15 | Recanatese | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 11 | 6 |
A question about Recanatese vs Foligno Calcio?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Other matches in the same round
- Sep 16, 2026Maceratese0-1Ancona
- Sep 16, 2026Sporting Trestina0-1Fossombrone
- Sep 16, 2026Real Giulianova0-0Termoli Calcio
- Sep 16, 2026Notaresco1-0Santegidiese
- Sep 16, 2026L'Aquila0-0Atletico Ascoli
- Sep 16, 2026Angelana1-3Teramo
- Sep 16, 2026Lanciano FC1-2Vigor Senigallia
- Sep 16, 2026Montecchio Gallo2-1Pietralunga