Sporting Trestina vs Fossombrone: result 0-1 and analysis
Serie D - Girone FGroup F - 3Kick-off on September 16, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Stadio Lorenzo Casini, Trestina
Full time
What was the result of Sporting Trestina vs Fossombrone?
Fossombrone won 0-1 on September 16, 2026.
Goalscorers
- 52′651234Fossombrone
What had the model predicted before the match?
Before kick-off, the Footlab AI model gave a Sporting Trestina win at 40%: prediction missed. Most likely score announced: 1-1. Actual score: 0-1.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Sporting Trestina have 4 wins, 7 draws and 4 defeats; Fossombrone have 4, 4 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 12, 2026 | Lanciano FC(away) | 0-0 | Serie D - Girone F |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Vigor Senigallia(home) | 2-5 | Serie D - Girone F |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Gubbio(away) | 0-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 3, 2026 | Robur Siena(away) | 4-4 | Serie D - Girone E |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Prato(home) | 0-2 | Serie D - Girone E |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 12, 2026 | L'Aquila(home) | 0-4 | Serie D - Girone F |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Real Giulianova(away) | 2-1 | Serie D - Girone F |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Cesena(away) | 0-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 3, 2026 | Recanatese(away) | 0-2 | Serie D - Girone F |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Castelfidardo Calcio(home) | 3-1 | Serie D - Girone F |
How many goals should we expect?
Sporting Trestina score 1.2 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Fossombrone score 0.8 and concede 1.5.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sporting Trestina | 1.2 | 1.5 | 3 | 10/15 | 6/15 |
| Fossombrone | 0.8 | 1.5 | 3 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Sporting Trestina sit 14th in Serie D - Girone F (11 points from 11 matches) and Fossombrone sit 5th (17 points from 11 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Fossombrone | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 16 | 18 | 17 |
| 14 | Sporting Trestina | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 8 | 15 | 11 |
A question about Sporting Trestina vs Fossombrone?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Other matches in the same round
- Sep 16, 2026Maceratese0-1Ancona
- Sep 16, 2026Real Giulianova0-0Termoli Calcio
- Sep 16, 2026Recanatese4-1Foligno Calcio
- Sep 16, 2026Notaresco1-0Santegidiese
- Sep 16, 2026L'Aquila0-0Atletico Ascoli
- Sep 16, 2026Angelana1-3Teramo
- Sep 16, 2026Lanciano FC1-2Vigor Senigallia
- Sep 16, 2026Montecchio Gallo2-1Pietralunga