Maceratese vs Real Giulianova: prediction and stats
Serie D - Girone FGroup F - 12Kick-off on November 15, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Stadio Helvia Recina, Macerata
The Footlab AI model makes Real Giulianova the favourite at 46%, against 27% for a draw and 27% for Maceratese. The most likely score is 1-1. If Real Giulianova wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 2,761 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 18, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Maceratese vs Real Giulianova?
A very open match: only 81 Elo points separate Maceratese (1,636) and Real Giulianova (1,717).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Maceratese vs Real Giulianova
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Maceratese
4-3-3- 9Matteo Colombi
- 16Federico Palmieri
- 15D. Allegretti
- 8Alberto Quadri
- 7L. De Grazia
- 10Gianluca Turchetta
- 14Christian Ventola
- 5D. Marchetti
- 6Filippo Gattari
- 4A. Bondioli
- 22F. Forte
Real Giulianova
Not enough data to predict the Real Giulianova lineup.
Computed on October 18, 2026 at 06:47 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Maceratese have 4 wins, 3 draws and 8 defeats; Real Giulianova have 4, 5 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | Notaresco(away) | 2-5 | Serie D - Girone F |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Foligno Calcio(home) | 0-2 | Serie D - Girone F |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Recanatese(away) | 3-2 | Serie D - Girone F |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Santegidiese(home) | 1-1 | Serie D - Girone F |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Pietralunga(away) | 2-0 | Serie D - Girone F |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Ancona(home) | 0-2 | Serie D - Girone F |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Santegidiese(away) | 3-1 | Serie D - Girone F |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Atletico Ascoli(home) | 4-2 | Serie D - Girone F |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Teramo(away) | 2-3 | Serie D - Girone F |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Termoli Calcio(home) | 0-0 | Serie D - Girone F |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Maceratese wins, 1 draw, 1 Real Giulianova win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 26, 2026 | Maceratese 1-1 Real Giulianova | Serie D - Girone F |
| Dec 14, 2025 | Real Giulianova 2-1 Maceratese | Serie D - Girone F |
Last archived meeting: Maceratese vs Real Giulianova on Apr 26, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Maceratese score 1.1 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Real Giulianova score 1.1 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 49% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maceratese | 1.1 | 1.7 | 2 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
| Real Giulianova | 1.1 | 1.0 | 6 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Maceratese sit 15th in Serie D - Girone F (7 points from 8 matches) and Real Giulianova sit 14th (7 points from 7 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Real Giulianova | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 10 | 11 | 7 |
| 15 | Maceratese | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 9 | 16 | 7 |
A question about Maceratese vs Real Giulianova?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Maceratese vs Real Giulianova?
- The Footlab AI model makes Real Giulianova the favourite at 46%, against 27% for a draw and 27% for Maceratese.
- Where and when is Maceratese vs Real Giulianova played?
- Maceratese vs Real Giulianova is played on November 15, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Stadio Helvia Recina, in the Serie D - Girone F.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 49% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.