Notaresco vs Sporting Trestina: prediction and stats
Serie D - Girone FGroup F - 12Kick-off on November 15, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Stadio Comunale Vincenzo Savini, Notaresco
The Footlab AI model makes Notaresco the favourite at 54%, against 26% for a draw and 20% for Sporting Trestina. The most likely score is 1-1. If Notaresco wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 2,748 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 18, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Notaresco vs Sporting Trestina?
Notaresco starts as the favourite with a 136-point Elo edge (1,744 vs 1,608).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Notaresco vs Sporting Trestina
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Notaresco
5-3-2- 10P. Banegas
- 17A. Mancini
- 9Mateus Ribeiro
- 7L. Marchionni
- 4L. Bianciardi
- 6I. Speranza
- 33M. Gallo
- 24R. Di Stefano
- 5G. Colombatti
- 13J. Di Saverio
- 1K. Shiba
Sporting Trestina
Not enough data to predict the Sporting Trestina lineup.
Computed on October 18, 2026 at 07:27 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Notaresco have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Sporting Trestina have 1, 6 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | Maceratese(home) | 5-2 | Serie D - Girone F |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Recanatese(home) | 2-1 | Serie D - Girone F |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Montecchio Gallo(away) | 1-0 | Serie D - Girone F |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Pietralunga(home) | 1-1 | Serie D - Girone F |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Foligno Calcio(away) | 0-1 | Serie D - Girone F |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Pietralunga(away) | 0-2 | Serie D - Girone F |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Teramo(home) | 0-2 | Serie D - Girone F |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Ancona(away) | 0-2 | Serie D - Girone F |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Termoli Calcio(home) | 2-0 | Serie D - Girone F |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Atletico Ascoli(away) | 0-1 | Serie D - Girone F |
How many goals should we expect?
Notaresco score 1.6 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Sporting Trestina score 0.7 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 49% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Notaresco | 1.6 | 1.3 | 3 | 11/15 | 9/15 |
| Sporting Trestina | 0.7 | 1.6 | 3 | 5/15 | 2/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Notaresco sit 5th in Serie D - Girone F (14 points from 8 matches) and Sporting Trestina sit 18th (4 points from 8 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Notaresco | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 13 | 9 | 14 |
| 18 | Sporting Trestina | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 4 | 13 | 4 |
A question about Notaresco vs Sporting Trestina?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Notaresco vs Sporting Trestina?
- The Footlab AI model makes Notaresco the favourite at 54%, against 26% for a draw and 20% for Sporting Trestina.
- Where and when is Notaresco vs Sporting Trestina played?
- Notaresco vs Sporting Trestina is played on November 15, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Stadio Comunale Vincenzo Savini, in the Serie D - Girone F.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 49% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.