Machico vs União Lamas: prediction and stats
Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group BGroup B - 22Kick-off on March 14, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Estádio Municipal de Machico, Machico (Madeira)
The Footlab AI model makes Machico the favourite at 49%, against 28% for a draw and 23% for União Lamas. The most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 53.8% of the 3,886 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 30, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Machico vs União Lamas?
A very open match: only 76 Elo points separate Machico (1,861) and União Lamas (1,785).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Machico vs União Lamas
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Machico
Not enough data to predict the Machico lineup.
União Lamas
4-3-3- 11Joaquim Rodrigues
- 9G. Matos Monteiro
- 87V. Andrade
- 13L. Salgado
- 22R. Braga
- 6F. Melo
- 2W. Rosero
- 44D. Araujo
- 5L. P. Pinto
- 18Joao
- 1F. Enes Guimaraes
Computed on October 30, 2026 at 04:55 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Machico have 9 wins, 5 draws and 1 defeat; União Lamas have 4, 7 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 25, 2026 | Guarda(away) | 1-0 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group B |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Florgrade(home) | 4-0 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group B |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Alpendorada(away) | 2-1 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group B |
| Sep 4, 2026 | Salgueiros(away) | 1-1 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group B |
| Aug 30, 2026 | Camacha(home) | 2-2 | Taça de Portugal |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Camacha(home) | 0-3 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group B |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Sousense(away) | 3-3 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group B |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Guarda(home) | 1-0 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group B |
| Aug 28, 2026 | Beira-Mar(away) | 3-3 | Taça de Portugal |
| Aug 23, 2026 | Ovarense(away) | 0-1 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group B |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Machico wins, 0 draws, 2 União Lamas wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 2, 2025 | Machico 0-1 União Lamas | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group B |
| Nov 3, 2024 | União Lamas 4-1 Machico | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group B |
Last archived meeting: Machico vs União Lamas on Mar 2, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Machico score 1.3 and concede 0.5 goals per match over their last 15; União Lamas score 1.1 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 41% probability of over 2.5 goals and 45% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Machico | 1.3 | 0.5 | 10 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
| União Lamas | 1.1 | 1.3 | 6 | 5/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Machico sit 1st in Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group B (14 points from 6 matches) and União Lamas sit 6th (8 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Machico | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 10 | 2 | 14 |
| 6 | União Lamas | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 9 | 8 |
A question about Machico vs União Lamas?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Machico vs União Lamas?
- The Footlab AI model makes Machico the favourite at 49%, against 28% for a draw and 23% for União Lamas.
- Where and when is Machico vs União Lamas played?
- Machico vs União Lamas is played on March 14, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Estádio Municipal de Machico, in the Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group B.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 41% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 53.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.