Macva vs FK Crvena Zvezda: prediction and stats
Super LigaRegular Season - 14Kick-off on November 1, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Stadion FK Mačva, Šabac
The Footlab model makes FK Crvena Zvezda the favourite at 56%, against 24% for a draw and 20% for Macva. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Macva vs FK Crvena Zvezda?
FK Crvena Zvezda is a heavy favourite: 2,047 Elo points against 1,666 — a 381-point gap.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Macva have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; FK Crvena Zvezda have 7, 3 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Radnicki NIS(home) | 1-0 | Super Liga |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Radnik Surdulica(away) | 1-2 | Super Liga |
| Aug 9, 2026 | IMT Novi Beograd(home) | 1-0 | Super Liga |
| Aug 3, 2026 | Vojvodina(away) | 0-2 | Super Liga |
| Jul 26, 2026 | FK Partizan(home) | 1-3 | Super Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Cukaricki(home) | 4-0 | Super Liga |
| Aug 20, 2026 | Plzen(home) | 3-0 | UEFA Europa League |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Hapoel Beer Sheva(home) | 0-2 | UEFA Champions League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Novi Pazar(home) | 2-0 | Super Liga |
| Aug 4, 2026 | Hapoel Beer Sheva(away) | 0-1 | UEFA Champions League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Macva win(s), 0 draw(s), 6 FK Crvena Zvezda win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 17, 2026 | FK Crvena Zvezda 5-0 Macva | Super Liga |
| Sep 29, 2022 | Macva 0-2 FK Crvena Zvezda | Cup |
| Mar 11, 2021 | FK Crvena Zvezda 4-0 Macva | Super Liga |
| Aug 9, 2020 | Macva 0-3 FK Crvena Zvezda | Super Liga |
| Mar 7, 2020 | Macva 0-3 FK Crvena Zvezda | Super Liga |
| Sep 28, 2019 | FK Crvena Zvezda 3-1 Macva | Super Liga |
Last archived meeting: FK Crvena Zvezda vs Macva on Jul 17, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Macva score 0.9 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; FK Crvena Zvezda score 2.1 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Macva | 0.9 | 1.3 | 6 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
| FK Crvena Zvezda | 2.1 | 0.9 | 7 | 6/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Macva sit 10th in Super Liga (6 points from 6 matches) and FK Crvena Zvezda sit 1st (12 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FK Crvena Zvezda | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 1 | 12 |
| 10 | Macva | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 12 | 6 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Macva vs FK Crvena Zvezda?
- The Footlab model makes FK Crvena Zvezda the favourite at 56%, against 24% for a draw and 20% for Macva.
- Where and when is Macva vs FK Crvena Zvezda played?
- Macva vs FK Crvena Zvezda is played on November 1, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion FK Mačva, in the Super Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.