Mladost Lucani vs Radnik Surdulica: prediction and stats
Super LigaRegular Season - 14Kick-off on November 1, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Mladost Stadium Lučani, Lučani
The Footlab model makes Mladost Lucani the favourite at 37%, against 28% for a draw and 35% for Radnik Surdulica. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Mladost Lucani vs Radnik Surdulica?
A very open match: only 36 Elo points separate Mladost Lucani (1,682) and Radnik Surdulica (1,718).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Mladost Lucani have 7 wins, 6 draws and 2 defeats; Radnik Surdulica have 3, 7 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | FK Partizan(home) | 3-1 | Super Liga |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Zemun(away) | 1-0 | Super Liga |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Cukaricki(home) | 2-2 | Super Liga |
| Aug 3, 2026 | Železničar Pančevo(away) | 0-0 | Super Liga |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Novi Pazar(home) | 0-0 | Super Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Novi Pazar(home) | 1-0 | Super Liga |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Macva(home) | 2-1 | Super Liga |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Vojvodina(away) | 1-2 | Super Liga |
| Jul 25, 2026 | OFK Beograd(away) | 0-0 | Super Liga |
| Jul 19, 2026 | Mladost Lucani(home) | 1-1 | Super Liga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Mladost Lucani win(s), 4 draw(s), 0 Radnik Surdulica win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 19, 2026 | Radnik Surdulica 1-1 Mladost Lucani | Super Liga |
| Dec 8, 2025 | Radnik Surdulica 0-0 Mladost Lucani | Super Liga |
| Aug 2, 2025 | Mladost Lucani 1-0 Radnik Surdulica | Super Liga |
| Nov 25, 2023 | Radnik Surdulica 1-1 Mladost Lucani | Super Liga |
| Jul 31, 2023 | Mladost Lucani 0-0 Radnik Surdulica | Super Liga |
| May 9, 2023 | Mladost Lucani 2-0 Radnik Surdulica | Super Liga |
Last archived meeting: Radnik Surdulica vs Mladost Lucani on Jul 19, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Mladost Lucani score 1.3 and concede 0.8 goals per match over their last 15; Radnik Surdulica score 0.9 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 49% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mladost Lucani | 1.3 | 0.8 | 6 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
| Radnik Surdulica | 0.9 | 1.6 | 5 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Mladost Lucani sit 4th in Super Liga (10 points from 6 matches) and Radnik Surdulica sit 7th (8 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Mladost Lucani | 6 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 7 | 4 | 10 |
| 7 | Radnik Surdulica | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 8 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Mladost Lucani vs Radnik Surdulica?
- The Footlab model makes Mladost Lucani the favourite at 37%, against 28% for a draw and 35% for Radnik Surdulica.
- Where and when is Mladost Lucani vs Radnik Surdulica played?
- Mladost Lucani vs Radnik Surdulica is played on November 1, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Mladost Stadium Lučani, in the Super Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 49% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.