Madagascar vs Ethiopia: result 1-0 and analysis
Africa Cup of Nations - QualificationGroup Stage - 1Kick-off on November 16, 2019 at 01:00 PM (UTC)National Sports Complex Pitch 1, Saint Pierre
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What was the result of Madagascar vs Ethiopia?
Madagascar won 1-0 on November 16, 2019.
Goalscorers
- 18′R. RavelosonMadagascar
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Madagascar have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; Ethiopia have 4, 6 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 19, 2019 | Namibia(away) | 0-2 | African Nations Championship |
| Sep 22, 2019 | Namibia(home) | 1-0 | African Nations Championship |
| Aug 4, 2019 | Mozambique(away) | 2-3 | African Nations Championship |
| Jul 28, 2019 | Mozambique(home) | 1-0 | African Nations Championship |
| Jul 11, 2019 | Tunisia(home) | 0-3 | Africa Cup of Nations |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 19, 2019 | Rwanda(away) | 1-1 | African Nations Championship |
| Oct 13, 2019 | Uganda(home) | 0-1 | Friendlies |
| Sep 22, 2019 | Rwanda(home) | 0-1 | African Nations Championship |
| Sep 8, 2019 | Lesotho(away) | 1-1 | World Cup - Qualification Africa |
| Sep 4, 2019 | Lesotho(home) | 0-0 | World Cup - Qualification Africa |
How many goals should we expect?
Madagascar score 1.3 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Ethiopia score 0.9 and concede 1.2.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Madagascar | 1.3 | 1.7 | 5 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
| Ethiopia | 0.9 | 1.2 | 5 | 6/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Madagascar sit 4th in Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification (1 point from 2 matches) and Ethiopia sit 4th (0 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | MadagascarGroup L | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 1 |
| 4 | EthiopiaGroup J | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
A question about Madagascar vs Ethiopia?
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy