Madagascar vs Sudan: result 1-0 and analysis
African Nations ChampionshipSemi-finalsKick-off on August 26, 2025 at 02:30 PM (UTC)Benjamin Mkapa National Stadium, Dar-es-Salaam
Full time
What was the result of Madagascar vs Sudan?
Madagascar won 1-0 on August 26, 2025.
Goalscorers
- 116′525770Madagascar
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Madagascar have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; Sudan have 5, 8 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2025 | Kenya(away) | 1-1 | African Nations Championship |
| Aug 16, 2025 | Burkina Faso(away) | 2-1 | African Nations Championship |
| Aug 13, 2025 | Central African Republic(home) | 2-0 | African Nations Championship |
| Aug 9, 2025 | Tanzania(away) | 1-2 | African Nations Championship |
| Aug 3, 2025 | Mauritania(home) | 0-0 | African Nations Championship |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2025 | Algeria(home) | 1-1 | African Nations Championship |
| Aug 19, 2025 | Senegal(home) | 0-0 | African Nations Championship |
| Aug 12, 2025 | Nigeria(home) | 4-0 | African Nations Championship |
| Aug 5, 2025 | Congo(away) | 1-1 | African Nations Championship |
| Mar 25, 2025 | South Sudan(home) | 1-1 | World Cup - Qualification Africa |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 2 Madagascar win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Sudan win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 23, 2023 | Sudan 0-3 Madagascar | African Nations Championship |
| Nov 18, 2018 | Madagascar 1-3 Sudan | Africa Cup of Nations |
| Jun 9, 2017 | Sudan 1-3 Madagascar | Africa Cup of Nations |
How many goals should we expect?
Madagascar score 1.1 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Sudan score 0.9 and concede 0.6.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Madagascar | 1.1 | 1.3 | 4 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
| Sudan | 0.9 | 0.6 | 9 | 4/15 | 3/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Madagascar sit 2nd in African Nations Championship (7 points from 4 matches) and Sudan sit 1st (5 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sudan | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 5 |
| 2 | Madagascar | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 7 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy