Madureira vs Caxias: result 0-1 and analysis
Serie CRegular Season - 7Kick-off on July 19, 2014 at 06:00 PM (UTC)Estádio Aniceto Moscoso, Rio de Janeiro, Rio de Janeiro
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What was the result of Madureira vs Caxias?
Caxias won 0-1 on July 19, 2014.
Goalscorers
- 87′Lucão do BreakCaxias
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Madureira have 2 wins, 9 draws and 4 defeats; Caxias have 6, 4 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 31, 2014 | Tupi(away) | 0-1 | Serie C |
| May 24, 2014 | São Caetano(home) | 1-0 | Serie C |
| May 17, 2014 | Macaé(home) | 0-1 | Serie C |
| May 11, 2014 | Mogi Mirim(away) | 1-1 | Serie C |
| May 4, 2014 | Guarani Campinas(away) | 1-1 | Serie C |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 31, 2014 | Mogi Mirim(home) | 1-0 | Serie C |
| May 24, 2014 | Duque de Caxias(home) | 3-0 | Serie C |
| May 17, 2014 | Tupi(away) | 1-2 | Serie C |
| May 10, 2014 | São Caetano(home) | 2-0 | Serie C |
| May 3, 2014 | Guaratinguetá(away) | 2-2 | Serie C |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 0 Madureira win(s), 3 draw(s), 1 Caxias win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 21, 2013 | Madureira 1-1 Caxias | Serie C |
| Jul 28, 2013 | Caxias 0-0 Madureira | Serie C |
| Sep 29, 2012 | Madureira 1-1 Caxias | Serie C |
| Jul 29, 2012 | Caxias 2-0 Madureira | Serie C |
How many goals should we expect?
Madureira score 0.7 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Caxias score 1.3 and concede 0.9.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Madureira | 0.7 | 0.9 | 5 | 6/15 | 1/15 |
| Caxias | 1.3 | 0.9 | 6 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Caxias | 18 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 17 | 16 | 24 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy