MAFCO vs Kamuzu Barracks: prediction and stats
Super LeagueRegular Season - 26Kick-off on January 17, 2027 at 12:30 PM (UTC)Chitowe Stadium, Nkhotakota
The Footlab model makes MAFCO the favourite at 46%, against 30% for a draw and 23% for Kamuzu Barracks. The most likely score is 1-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win MAFCO vs Kamuzu Barracks?
A very open match: only 20 Elo points separate MAFCO (1,437) and Kamuzu Barracks (1,457).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, MAFCO have 3 wins, 4 draws and 8 defeats; Kamuzu Barracks have 3, 4 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | CIVO United(away) | 0-1 | Super League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Masters FC(home) | 1-1 | Super League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Blue Eagles(home) | 0-1 | Super League |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Kamuzu Barracks(away) | 1-4 | Super League |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Be Forward Wanderers(away) | 0-3 | Super League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Moyale Barracks(away) | 2-2 | Super League |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Be Forward Wanderers(home) | 0-2 | Super League |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Red Lions(away) | 0-0 | Super League |
| Jul 26, 2026 | MAFCO(home) | 4-1 | Super League |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Masters FC(away) | 0-1 | Super League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 MAFCO win(s), 2 draw(s), 3 Kamuzu Barracks win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 26, 2026 | Kamuzu Barracks 4-1 MAFCO | Super League |
| Oct 4, 2025 | Kamuzu Barracks 2-2 MAFCO | Super League |
| Apr 19, 2025 | MAFCO 0-4 Kamuzu Barracks | Super League |
| Nov 16, 2024 | Kamuzu Barracks 1-2 MAFCO | Super League |
| Apr 13, 2024 | MAFCO 1-1 Kamuzu Barracks | Super League |
| Aug 12, 2023 | MAFCO 0-1 Kamuzu Barracks | Super League |
Last archived meeting: Kamuzu Barracks vs MAFCO on Jul 26, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
MAFCO score 0.7 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Kamuzu Barracks score 1.1 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 35% probability of over 2.5 goals and 42% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MAFCO | 0.7 | 1.1 | 4 | 4/15 | 3/15 |
| Kamuzu Barracks | 1.1 | 1.5 | 1 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
MAFCO sit 13th in Super League (13 points from 14 matches) and Kamuzu Barracks sit 15th (12 points from 14 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | MAFCO | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 6 |
| 13 | MAFCO | 14 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 11 | 15 | 13 |
| 14 | Kamuzu Barracks | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 10 | 4 |
| 15 | Kamuzu Barracks | 14 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 15 | 21 | 12 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for MAFCO vs Kamuzu Barracks?
- The Footlab model makes MAFCO the favourite at 46%, against 30% for a draw and 23% for Kamuzu Barracks.
- Where and when is MAFCO vs Kamuzu Barracks played?
- MAFCO vs Kamuzu Barracks is played on January 17, 2027 at 12:30 PM (UTC) at Chitowe Stadium, in the Super League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 35% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.