Creck vs Karonga United: prediction and stats
Super LeagueRegular Season - 26Kick-off on January 16, 2027 at 12:30 PM (UTC)
The Footlab AI model makes Creck the favourite at 41%, against 30% for a draw and 29% for Karonga United. The most likely score is 1-1. If Creck wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,395 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Creck vs Karonga United?
A very open match: only 3 Elo points separate Creck (1,455) and Karonga United (1,457).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Creck vs Karonga United
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Creck
Not enough data to predict the Creck lineup.
Karonga United
Not enough data to predict the Karonga United lineup.
Computed on October 14, 2026 at 08:49 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Creck have 3 wins, 3 draws and 9 defeats; Karonga United have 4, 5 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Moyale Barracks(home) | 2-1 | Super League |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Chitipa United(away) | 0-0 | Super League |
| Aug 22, 2026 | Ekhaya(home) | 3-2 | Super League |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Dedza Dynamos(away) | 1-1 | Super League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Silver Strikers(home) | 0-1 | Super League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | CIVO United(home) | 1-0 | Super League |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Ekhaya(away) | 0-0 | Super League |
| Aug 23, 2026 | Chitipa United(home) | 1-1 | Super League |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Nyasa Big Bullets(home) | 0-1 | Super League |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Mitundu Baptist(away) | 1-2 | Super League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 1 Creck win, 1 draw, 3 Karonga United wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 26, 2026 | Karonga United 2-1 Creck | Super League |
| Nov 19, 2025 | Creck 1-0 Karonga United | Super League |
| Jul 26, 2025 | Karonga United 1-0 Creck | Super League |
| Oct 27, 2024 | Creck 0-1 Karonga United | Super League |
| May 5, 2024 | Karonga United 1-1 Creck | Super League |
Last archived meeting: Karonga United vs Creck on Jul 26, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Creck score 0.8 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Karonga United score 0.9 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 40% probability of over 2.5 goals and 46% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Creck | 0.8 | 1.3 | 2 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
| Karonga United | 0.9 | 1.4 | 5 | 9/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Creck sit 16th in Super League (10 points from 15 matches) and Karonga United sit 13th (14 points from 15 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Karonga United | 15 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 14 | 23 | 14 |
| 16 | Creck | 15 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 11 | 20 | 10 |
A question about Creck vs Karonga United?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Creck vs Karonga United?
- The Footlab AI model makes Creck the favourite at 41%, against 30% for a draw and 29% for Karonga United.
- Where and when is Creck vs Karonga United played?
- Creck vs Karonga United is played on January 16, 2027 at 12:30 PM (UTC), in the Super League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 40% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.