MAFCO vs Karonga United: prediction and stats
Super LeagueRegular Season - 23Kick-off on December 12, 2026 at 12:30 PM (UTC)Chitowe Stadium, Nkhotakota
The Footlab AI model makes MAFCO the favourite at 41%, against 31% for a draw and 28% for Karonga United. The most likely score is 1-1. If MAFCO wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,366 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win MAFCO vs Karonga United?
A very open match: only 56 Elo points separate MAFCO (1,401) and Karonga United (1,457).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for MAFCO vs Karonga United
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
MAFCO
Not enough data to predict the MAFCO lineup.
Karonga United
Not enough data to predict the Karonga United lineup.
Computed on October 14, 2026 at 01:48 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, MAFCO have 3 wins, 3 draws and 9 defeats; Karonga United have 4, 5 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Chitipa United(away) | 0-2 | Super League |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Moyale Barracks(home) | 1-2 | Super League |
| Aug 23, 2026 | CIVO United(away) | 0-1 | Super League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Masters FC(home) | 1-1 | Super League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Blue Eagles(home) | 0-1 | Super League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | CIVO United(home) | 1-0 | Super League |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Ekhaya(away) | 0-0 | Super League |
| Aug 23, 2026 | Chitipa United(home) | 1-1 | Super League |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Nyasa Big Bullets(home) | 0-1 | Super League |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Mitundu Baptist(away) | 1-2 | Super League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 MAFCO win, 2 draws, 3 Karonga United wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 17, 2026 | Karonga United 1-1 MAFCO | Super League |
| Oct 15, 2025 | MAFCO 2-2 Karonga United | Super League |
| Apr 13, 2025 | Karonga United 1-0 MAFCO | Super League |
| Sep 22, 2024 | Karonga United 3-1 MAFCO | Super League |
| Jul 17, 2024 | MAFCO 2-0 Karonga United | Super League |
| Oct 15, 2023 | Karonga United 2-0 MAFCO | Super League |
Last archived meeting: Karonga United vs MAFCO on May 17, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
MAFCO score 0.7 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Karonga United score 0.9 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 36% probability of over 2.5 goals and 44% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MAFCO | 0.7 | 1.2 | 4 | 4/15 | 4/15 |
| Karonga United | 0.9 | 1.4 | 5 | 9/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
MAFCO sit 14th in Super League (13 points from 16 matches) and Karonga United sit 13th (14 points from 15 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Karonga United | 15 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 14 | 23 | 14 |
| 14 | MAFCO | 16 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 12 | 19 | 13 |
A question about MAFCO vs Karonga United?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for MAFCO vs Karonga United?
- The Footlab AI model makes MAFCO the favourite at 41%, against 31% for a draw and 28% for Karonga United.
- Where and when is MAFCO vs Karonga United played?
- MAFCO vs Karonga United is played on December 12, 2026 at 12:30 PM (UTC) at Chitowe Stadium, in the Super League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 36% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.