CIVO United vs Chitipa United: prediction and stats
Super LeagueRegular Season - 23Kick-off on December 12, 2026 at 12:30 PM (UTC)CIVO Stadium, Lilongwe
The Footlab model makes CIVO United the favourite at 54%, against 31% for a draw and 15% for Chitipa United. The most likely score is 1-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win CIVO United vs Chitipa United?
A very open match: only 50 Elo points separate CIVO United (1,518) and Chitipa United (1,467).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, CIVO United have 6 wins, 2 draws and 7 defeats; Chitipa United have 6, 2 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | MAFCO(home) | 1-0 | Super League |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Blue Eagles(away) | 2-1 | Super League |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Masters FC(away) | 0-1 | Super League |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Red Lions(away) | 0-1 | Super League |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Moyale Barracks(home) | 0-1 | Super League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Karonga United(away) | 1-1 | Super League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Mitundu Baptist(home) | 1-0 | Super League |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Nyasa Big Bullets(away) | 0-2 | Super League |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Silver Strikers(home) | 0-0 | Super League |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Ekhaya(home) | 1-0 | Super League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 CIVO United win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 Chitipa United win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 16, 2026 | Chitipa United 1-0 CIVO United | Super League |
| Nov 5, 2025 | CIVO United 0-1 Chitipa United | Super League |
| May 11, 2025 | Chitipa United 1-1 CIVO United | Super League |
| Aug 10, 2024 | CIVO United 4-0 Chitipa United | Super League |
| May 24, 2024 | Chitipa United 1-3 CIVO United | Super League |
| Oct 25, 2023 | CIVO United 0-0 Chitipa United | Super League |
Last archived meeting: Chitipa United vs CIVO United on May 16, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
CIVO United score 0.9 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Chitipa United score 0.7 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 28% probability of over 2.5 goals and 32% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CIVO United | 0.9 | 0.9 | 5 | 3/15 | 4/15 |
| Chitipa United | 0.7 | 1.1 | 5 | 4/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
CIVO United sit 11th in Super League (17 points from 14 matches) and Chitipa United sit 6th (20 points from 14 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Chitipa United | 14 | 6 | 2 | 6 | 11 | 16 | 20 |
| 11 | CIVO United | 14 | 5 | 2 | 7 | 9 | 14 | 17 |
| 11 | CIVO United | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 7 |
| 13 | Chitipa United | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 10 | 6 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for CIVO United vs Chitipa United?
- The Footlab model makes CIVO United the favourite at 54%, against 31% for a draw and 15% for Chitipa United.
- Where and when is CIVO United vs Chitipa United played?
- CIVO United vs Chitipa United is played on December 12, 2026 at 12:30 PM (UTC) at CIVO Stadium, in the Super League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 28% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.