Moyale Barracks vs Ekhaya: prediction and stats
Super LeagueRegular Season - 23Kick-off on December 12, 2026 at 12:30 PM (UTC)Mzuzu Stadium, Mzuzu
The Footlab model makes Moyale Barracks the favourite at 42%, against 30% for a draw and 28% for Ekhaya. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Moyale Barracks vs Ekhaya?
A very open match: only 4 Elo points separate Moyale Barracks (1,498) and Ekhaya (1,502).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Moyale Barracks have 4 wins, 7 draws and 4 defeats; Ekhaya have 5, 5 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Kamuzu Barracks(home) | 2-2 | Super League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Red Lions(away) | 0-1 | Super League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Be Forward Wanderers(home) | 1-1 | Super League |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Blue Eagles(away) | 0-1 | Super League |
| Jul 25, 2026 | CIVO United(away) | 1-0 | Super League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Creck(away) | 2-3 | Super League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Silver Strikers(away) | 0-3 | Super League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Dedza Dynamos(home) | 1-1 | Super League |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Mitundu Baptist(away) | 0-0 | Super League |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Chitipa United(away) | 0-1 | Super League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 1 Moyale Barracks win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Ekhaya win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 16, 2026 | Ekhaya 2-0 Moyale Barracks | Super League |
| Dec 4, 2025 | Moyale Barracks 2-1 Ekhaya | Super League |
| Jul 20, 2025 | Ekhaya 3-0 Moyale Barracks | Super League |
Last archived meeting: Ekhaya vs Moyale Barracks on May 16, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Moyale Barracks score 0.9 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Ekhaya score 1.1 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 40% probability of over 2.5 goals and 47% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Moyale Barracks | 0.9 | 1.1 | 6 | 6/15 | 4/15 |
| Ekhaya | 1.1 | 0.9 | 6 | 6/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Moyale Barracks sit 9th in Super League (18 points from 14 matches) and Ekhaya sit 10th (17 points from 14 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Ekhaya | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 5 | 10 |
| 9 | Moyale Barracks | 14 | 4 | 6 | 4 | 14 | 16 | 18 |
| 9 | Moyale Barracks | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 9 | 8 |
| 10 | Ekhaya | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 15 | 14 | 17 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Moyale Barracks vs Ekhaya?
- The Footlab model makes Moyale Barracks the favourite at 42%, against 30% for a draw and 28% for Ekhaya.
- Where and when is Moyale Barracks vs Ekhaya played?
- Moyale Barracks vs Ekhaya is played on December 12, 2026 at 12:30 PM (UTC) at Mzuzu Stadium, in the Super League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 40% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.