Moyale Barracks vs Ekhaya: prediction and stats
Super LeagueRegular Season - 23Kick-off on December 12, 2026 at 12:30 PM (UTC)Mzuzu Stadium, Mzuzu
The Footlab AI model makes Moyale Barracks the favourite at 40%, against 31% for a draw and 29% for Ekhaya. The most likely score is 1-1. If Moyale Barracks wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 2,869 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 20, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Moyale Barracks vs Ekhaya?
A very open match: only 16 Elo points separate Moyale Barracks (1,477) and Ekhaya (1,493).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Moyale Barracks vs Ekhaya
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Moyale Barracks
Not enough data to predict the Moyale Barracks lineup.
Ekhaya
Not enough data to predict the Ekhaya lineup.
Computed on October 20, 2026 at 07:15 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Moyale Barracks have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; Ekhaya have 5, 6 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | Silver Strikers(home) | 0-1 | Super League |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Creck(away) | 1-2 | Super League |
| Sep 5, 2026 | MAFCO(away) | 2-1 | Super League |
| Aug 22, 2026 | Kamuzu Barracks(home) | 2-2 | Super League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Red Lions(away) | 0-1 | Super League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | Red Lions(away) | 0-0 | Super League |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Kamuzu Barracks(home) | 2-0 | Super League |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Karonga United(home) | 0-0 | Super League |
| Aug 22, 2026 | Creck(away) | 2-3 | Super League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Silver Strikers(away) | 0-3 | Super League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 1 Moyale Barracks win, 0 draws, 2 Ekhaya wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 16, 2026 | Ekhaya 2-0 Moyale Barracks | Super League |
| Dec 4, 2025 | Moyale Barracks 2-1 Ekhaya | Super League |
| Jul 20, 2025 | Ekhaya 3-0 Moyale Barracks | Super League |
Last archived meeting: Ekhaya vs Moyale Barracks on May 16, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Moyale Barracks score 1.1 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Ekhaya score 1.0 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 36% probability of over 2.5 goals and 43% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Moyale Barracks | 1.1 | 1.1 | 4 | 7/15 | 5/15 |
| Ekhaya | 1.0 | 0.7 | 8 | 4/15 | 3/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Moyale Barracks sit 10th in Super League (21 points from 16 matches) and Ekhaya sit 8th (21 points from 16 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Ekhaya | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 17 | 14 | 21 |
| 10 | Moyale Barracks | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 17 | 19 | 21 |
A question about Moyale Barracks vs Ekhaya?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Moyale Barracks vs Ekhaya?
- The Footlab AI model makes Moyale Barracks the favourite at 40%, against 31% for a draw and 29% for Ekhaya.
- Where and when is Moyale Barracks vs Ekhaya played?
- Moyale Barracks vs Ekhaya is played on December 12, 2026 at 12:30 PM (UTC) at Mzuzu Stadium, in the Super League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 36% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.