Mafra vs Varzim: result 1-0 and analysis
Liga 3Promotion Group - 2Kick-off on February 15, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Estádio Municipal de Mafra, Mafra
Full time
What was the result of Mafra vs Varzim?
Mafra won 1-0 on February 15, 2026.
Goalscorers
- 83′M. CamaraMafra
Official lineup for Mafra vs Varzim
The starting elevens fielded at kick-off.
Mafra
- 9Mamor Niang
- 19S. Iheanacho
- 30Marculino Ninte
- 39Andrey
- 46Braima Samú
- 85L. Neves
- 2M. Camara
- 3Kauê Alves
- 5D. Beni
- 52Francisco Ferreira
- 33Pedro Silva
Varzim
- 7A. Gomes
- 11D. Benchi
- 19Chamito
- 8Rúben Oliveira
- 77F. Franca
- 2Gonçalo Pimenta
- 3P. Nuno
- 4Chicão
- 31Talocha
- 44M. Vila Cova
- 51M. Mbaye
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Mafra have 8 wins, 5 draws and 2 defeats; Varzim have 6, 6 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 24, 2026 | Atlético CP(away) | 2-1 | Liga 3 |
| Jan 16, 2026 | União Santarém(home) | 0-0 | Liga 3 |
| Jan 10, 2026 | 1º Dezembro(away) | 1-1 | Liga 3 |
| Jan 3, 2026 | Caldas(home) | 4-2 | Liga 3 |
| Dec 20, 2025 | Amora(away) | 2-1 | Liga 3 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 7, 2026 | Amarante(home) | 2-1 | Liga 3 |
| Jan 25, 2026 | AD Marco 09(away) | 3-1 | Liga 3 |
| Jan 17, 2026 | Sanjoanense(home) | 2-0 | Liga 3 |
| Jan 11, 2026 | Guimaraes B(away) | 2-1 | Liga 3 |
| Jan 4, 2026 | Fafe(away) | 0-1 | Liga 3 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Mafra win, 2 draws, 3 Varzim wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 15, 2022 | Varzim 2-0 Mafra | Segunda Liga |
| Jan 8, 2022 | Mafra 0-0 Varzim | Segunda Liga |
| Mar 20, 2021 | Varzim 2-0 Mafra | Segunda Liga |
| Nov 1, 2020 | Mafra 3-1 Varzim | Segunda Liga |
| Mar 1, 2020 | Varzim 2-1 Mafra | Segunda Liga |
| Sep 22, 2019 | Mafra 1-1 Varzim | Segunda Liga |
How many goals should we expect?
Mafra score 1.7 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Varzim score 1.4 and concede 1.0.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mafra | 1.7 | 1.0 | 4 | 10/15 | 7/15 |
| Varzim | 1.4 | 1.0 | 3 | 10/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Mafra sit 4th in Liga 3 (8 points from 6 matches) and Varzim sit 6th (9 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Mafra | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 7 | 8 |
| 6 | Varzim | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 7 | 9 |
A question about Mafra vs Varzim?
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy