Mafra vs Atlético CP: prediction and stats
Liga 3Regular Season - 11Kick-off on December 6, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Estádio Municipal de Mafra, Mafra
The Footlab AI model makes Mafra the favourite at 38%, against 28% for a draw and 34% for Atlético CP. The most likely score is 1-1. If Mafra wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,365 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Mafra vs Atlético CP?
A very open match: only 38 Elo points separate Mafra (2,003) and Atlético CP (2,041).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Mafra vs Atlético CP
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Mafra
4-3-3- 7R. Matos
- 9Mamor Niang
- 11Leandro Alves
- 46Braima Samú
- 37A. Ba
- 6Y. Maïga
- 5Gonçalo Cardoso
- 2M. Camara
- 3Kauê Alves
- 13Celso Raposo
- 33Pedro Silva
Atlético CP
4-3-3- 11H. Suker
- 38Caio Santana
- 20Edgar Pacheco
- 10Caleb
- 18Ricardo Dias
- 28Mohamed Konate
- 5V. Durand
- 2J. Martins
- 33A. Calegari
- 4D. Henriques
- 22N. Hidalgo
Computed on October 14, 2026 at 12:19 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Mafra have 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; Atlético CP have 9, 1 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | CF Os Belenenses(home) | 2-2 | Liga 3 |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Tirsense(home) | 2-2 | Taça de Portugal |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Oliveirense(away) | 1-2 | Liga 3 |
| Sep 5, 2026 | SC Covilha(home) | 1-0 | Liga 3 |
| Aug 29, 2026 | Atlético Malveira(away) | 3-2 | Taça de Portugal |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Caldas(home) | 4-1 | Liga 3 |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Lagoa(home) | 4-1 | Taça de Portugal |
| Sep 13, 2026 | CF Os Belenenses(away) | 0-1 | Liga 3 |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Oliveirense(home) | 3-1 | Liga 3 |
| Aug 29, 2026 | Olímpico do Montijo(away) | 4-0 | Taça de Portugal |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 2 Mafra wins, 1 draw, 0 Atlético CP wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | Atlético CP 1-1 Mafra | Liga 3 |
| Jan 24, 2026 | Atlético CP 1-2 Mafra | Liga 3 |
| Nov 2, 2025 | Mafra 1-0 Atlético CP | Liga 3 |
How many goals should we expect?
Mafra score 1.9 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Atlético CP score 1.7 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 49% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mafra | 1.9 | 1.3 | 6 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
| Atlético CP | 1.7 | 0.7 | 6 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Mafra sit 4th in Liga 3 (8 points from 6 matches) and Atlético CP sit 2nd (13 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Atlético CP | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 4 | 13 |
| 4 | Mafra | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 7 | 8 |
A question about Mafra vs Atlético CP?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Mafra vs Atlético CP?
- The Footlab AI model makes Mafra the favourite at 38%, against 28% for a draw and 34% for Atlético CP.
- Where and when is Mafra vs Atlético CP played?
- Mafra vs Atlético CP is played on December 6, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Estádio Municipal de Mafra, in the Liga 3.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 49% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.