Magpies vs St Joseph S Fc: prediction and stats
Premier DivisionRegular Season - 9Kick-off on October 30, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC)Victoria Stadium, Gibraltar
The Footlab model makes St Joseph S Fc the favourite at 69%, against 19% for a draw and 12% for Magpies. The most likely score is 0-2.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Magpies vs St Joseph S Fc?
St Joseph S Fc starts as the favourite with a 289-point Elo edge (1,624 vs 1,335).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Magpies have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; St Joseph S Fc have 6, 3 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Lions Gibraltar(away) | 1-1 | Premier Division |
| Mar 5, 2026 | Lincoln Red Imps FC(home) | 1-2 | Premier Division |
| Feb 20, 2026 | Europa Point(away) | 3-0 | Premier Division |
| Feb 6, 2026 | Lynx(home) | 0-0 | Premier Division |
| Feb 1, 2026 | Hound Dogs(away) | 0-0 | Rock Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Lincoln Red Imps FC(away) | 1-3 | Super Cup |
| Jul 16, 2026 | Bohemians(home) | 0-0 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Jul 9, 2026 | Bohemians(away) | 0-2 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Lions Gibraltar(home) | 3-3 | Premier Division |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Mons Calpe(away) | 2-3 | Premier Division |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Magpies win(s), 0 draw(s), 6 St Joseph S Fc win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Dec 20, 2025 | St Joseph S Fc 4-0 Magpies | Premier Division |
| Sep 19, 2025 | Magpies 0-2 St Joseph S Fc | Premier Division |
| Apr 11, 2025 | Magpies 0-2 St Joseph S Fc | Premier Division |
| Feb 19, 2025 | Magpies 1-3 St Joseph S Fc | Premier Division |
| Oct 3, 2024 | St Joseph S Fc 2-1 Magpies | Premier Division |
| Apr 28, 2024 | St Joseph S Fc 2-0 Magpies | Premier Division |
Last archived meeting: St Joseph S Fc vs Magpies on Dec 20, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Magpies score 1.2 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; St Joseph S Fc score 2.1 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 61% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Magpies | 1.2 | 0.9 | 6 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
| St Joseph S Fc | 2.1 | 1.0 | 7 | 4/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Magpies | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Magpies vs St Joseph S Fc?
- The Footlab model makes St Joseph S Fc the favourite at 69%, against 19% for a draw and 12% for Magpies.
- Where and when is Magpies vs St Joseph S Fc played?
- Magpies vs St Joseph S Fc is played on October 30, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC) at Victoria Stadium, in the Premier Division.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 61% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.