Mainz 05 W vs Hamburger SV W: prediction and stats
Frauen BundesligaMatchday 23Kick-off on April 11, 2027 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Stadion am Bruchweg, Mainz
The Footlab AI model makes Mainz 05 W the favourite at 39%, against 24% for a draw and 37% for Hamburger SV W. The most likely score is 1-1. If Mainz 05 W wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 5,780 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Mainz 05 W vs Hamburger SV W?
A very open match: only 40 Elo points separate Mainz 05 W (1,797) and Hamburger SV W (1,838).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Mainz 05 W vs Hamburger SV W
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Mainz 05 W
Not enough data to predict the Mainz 05 W lineup.
Hamburger SV W
4-3-3- 7C. Linberg
- 10C. Morich
- 11M. Brunnthaler
- 28P. Machtens
- 37P. Bartz
- 15L. Peneau
- 8S. Stoldt
- 6A. Böhler
- 2M. Doucouré
- 26J. M. Wrede
- 12K. Szemik
Computed on November 14, 2026 at 12:39 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Mainz 05 W have 4 wins, 0 draws and 11 defeats; Hamburger SV W have 3, 3 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 13, 2026 | Hamburger SV W(away) | 1-6 | Frauen Bundesliga |
| Nov 8, 2026 | Stuttgart W(home) | 1-3 | Frauen Bundesliga |
| Nov 1, 2026 | Werder Bremen W(home) | 0-2 | DFB Pokal - Women |
| Oct 25, 2026 | 1899 Hoffenheim W(away) | 1-3 | Frauen Bundesliga |
| Oct 18, 2026 | VfL Wolfsburg W(home) | 0-5 | Frauen Bundesliga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 13, 2026 | Mainz 05 W(home) | 6-1 | Frauen Bundesliga |
| Nov 7, 2026 | Bayer Leverkusen W(away) | 0-2 | Frauen Bundesliga |
| Oct 31, 2026 | Union Berlin W(home) | 3-4 | DFB Pokal - Women |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Union Berlin W(home) | 4-4 | Frauen Bundesliga |
| Oct 17, 2026 | FC Koln W(away) | 1-3 | Frauen Bundesliga |
What does the head-to-head say?
In the last meeting: 0 Mainz 05 W wins, 0 draws, 1 Hamburger SV W win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 13, 2026 | Hamburger SV W 6-1 Mainz 05 W | Frauen Bundesliga |
Last archived meeting: Hamburger SV W vs Mainz 05 W on Nov 13, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Mainz 05 W score 1.7 and concede 2.7 goals per match over their last 15; Hamburger SV W score 1.7 and concede 1.8. The model gives a 66% probability of over 2.5 goals and 67% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mainz 05 W | 1.7 | 2.7 | 2 | 7/15 | 13/15 |
| Hamburger SV W | 1.7 | 1.8 | 0 | 11/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Mainz 05 W sit 14th in Frauen Bundesliga (0 points from 10 matches) and Hamburger SV W sit 12th (9 points from 10 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Hamburger SV W | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 20 | 18 | 9 |
| 14 | Mainz 05 W | 10 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 6 | 36 | 0 |
A question about Mainz 05 W vs Hamburger SV W?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Mainz 05 W vs Hamburger SV W?
- The Footlab AI model makes Mainz 05 W the favourite at 39%, against 24% for a draw and 37% for Hamburger SV W.
- Where and when is Mainz 05 W vs Hamburger SV W played?
- Mainz 05 W vs Hamburger SV W is played on April 11, 2027 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion am Bruchweg, in the Frauen Bundesliga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 66% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.