Malawi vs Mali: prediction and stats
FriendliesFriendlies 3Kick-off on January 4, 2022 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Bingu National Stadium, Lilongwe
Match cancelled
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Malawi have 3 wins, 3 draws and 9 defeats; Mali have 7, 4 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 16, 2021 | Mozambique(away) | 0-1 | World Cup - Qualification Africa |
| Nov 13, 2021 | Cameroon(home) | 0-4 | World Cup - Qualification Africa |
| Oct 11, 2021 | Ivory Coast(away) | 1-2 | World Cup - Qualification Africa |
| Oct 8, 2021 | Ivory Coast(home) | 0-3 | World Cup - Qualification Africa |
| Sep 7, 2021 | Mozambique(home) | 1-0 | World Cup - Qualification Africa |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 14, 2021 | Uganda(home) | 1-0 | World Cup - Qualification Africa |
| Nov 11, 2021 | Rwanda(away) | 3-0 | World Cup - Qualification Africa |
| Oct 10, 2021 | Kenya(away) | 1-0 | World Cup - Qualification Africa |
| Oct 7, 2021 | Kenya(home) | 5-0 | World Cup - Qualification Africa |
| Sep 6, 2021 | Uganda(away) | 0-0 | World Cup - Qualification Africa |
How many goals should we expect?
Malawi score 0.5 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Mali score 1.1 and concede 0.4.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Malawi | 0.5 | 1.7 | 4 | 4/15 | 6/15 |
| Mali | 1.1 | 0.4 | 10 | 1/15 | 3/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
A question about Malawi vs Mali?
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy