Malawi vs Mali: prediction and stats
FriendliesFriendlies 3Kick-off on January 4, 2022 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Bingu National Stadium, Lilongwe
Match cancelled
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Malawi have 3 wins, 3 draws and 9 defeats; Mali have 7, 4 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 16, 2021 | Mozambique(away) | 0-1 | World Cup - Qualification Africa |
| Nov 13, 2021 | Cameroon(home) | 0-4 | World Cup - Qualification Africa |
| Oct 11, 2021 | Ivory Coast(away) | 1-2 | World Cup - Qualification Africa |
| Oct 8, 2021 | Ivory Coast(home) | 0-3 | World Cup - Qualification Africa |
| Sep 7, 2021 | Mozambique(home) | 1-0 | World Cup - Qualification Africa |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 14, 2021 | Uganda(home) | 1-0 | World Cup - Qualification Africa |
| Nov 11, 2021 | Rwanda(away) | 3-0 | World Cup - Qualification Africa |
| Oct 10, 2021 | Kenya(away) | 1-0 | World Cup - Qualification Africa |
| Oct 7, 2021 | Kenya(home) | 5-0 | World Cup - Qualification Africa |
| Sep 6, 2021 | Uganda(away) | 0-0 | World Cup - Qualification Africa |
How many goals should we expect?
Malawi score 0.5 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Mali score 1.1 and concede 0.4.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Malawi | 0.5 | 1.7 | 4 | 4/15 | 6/15 |
| Mali | 1.1 | 0.4 | 10 | 1/15 | 3/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy