Malawi vs Uganda: result 1-0 and analysis
Africa Cup of Nations - QualificationGroup Stage - 6Kick-off on March 29, 2021 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Kamuzu Stadium, Blantyre
Full time
What was the result of Malawi vs Uganda?
Malawi won 1-0 on March 29, 2021.
Goalscorers
- 15′Richard MbuluMalawi
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Malawi have 3 wins, 7 draws and 5 defeats; Uganda have 9, 3 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 24, 2021 | South Sudan(away) | 1-0 | Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification |
| Mar 17, 2021 | Ethiopia(away) | 0-4 | Friendlies |
| Nov 16, 2020 | Burkina Faso(home) | 0-0 | Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification |
| Nov 12, 2020 | Burkina Faso(away) | 1-3 | Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification |
| Oct 11, 2020 | Zimbabwe(home) | 0-0 | Friendlies |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 24, 2021 | Burkina Faso(home) | 0-0 | Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification |
| Jan 26, 2021 | Morocco(home) | 2-5 | African Nations Championship |
| Jan 22, 2021 | Togo(home) | 1-2 | African Nations Championship |
| Jan 18, 2021 | Rwanda(away) | 0-0 | African Nations Championship |
| Nov 16, 2020 | South Sudan(away) | 0-1 | Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 0 Malawi win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Uganda win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 17, 2019 | Uganda 2-0 Malawi | Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification |
| Mar 27, 2018 | Uganda 0-0 Malawi | Friendlies |
| Nov 30, 2015 | Uganda 2-0 Malawi | CECAFA Senior Challenge Cup |
How many goals should we expect?
Malawi score 0.5 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Uganda score 1.5 and concede 0.7.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Malawi | 0.5 | 0.9 | 8 | 4/15 | 3/15 |
| Uganda | 1.5 | 0.7 | 10 | 4/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Malawi sit 3rd in Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification (4 points from 6 matches) and Uganda sit 2nd (13 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Uganda | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 5 | 13 |
| 3 | Malawi | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 11 | 4 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy