Maldives vs Sri Lanka: result 1-0 and analysis
SAFF ChampionshipGroup Stage - 4Kick-off on October 10, 2021 at 11:00 AM (UTC)Rasmee Dhandu Stadium, Malé, North Malé Atoll, Kaafu Atoll
Full time
What was the result of Maldives vs Sri Lanka?
Maldives won 1-0 on October 10, 2021.
Goalscorers
- 6′Ali AshfaqMaldives
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Maldives have 5 wins, 2 draws and 8 defeats; Sri Lanka have 1, 2 and 12.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 7, 2021 | Bangladesh(home) | 2-0 | SAFF Championship |
| Oct 1, 2021 | Nepal(away) | 0-1 | SAFF Championship |
| Jun 15, 2021 | Philippines(away) | 1-1 | World Cup - Qualification Asia |
| Jun 11, 2021 | China(away) | 0-5 | World Cup - Qualification Asia |
| Jun 4, 2021 | Syria(home) | 0-4 | World Cup - Qualification Asia |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 7, 2021 | India(away) | 0-0 | SAFF Championship |
| Oct 4, 2021 | Nepal(home) | 2-3 | SAFF Championship |
| Oct 1, 2021 | Bangladesh(home) | 0-1 | SAFF Championship |
| Jun 9, 2021 | South Korea(home) | 0-5 | World Cup - Qualification Asia |
| Jun 5, 2021 | Lebanon(away) | 2-3 | World Cup - Qualification Asia |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Maldives win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Sri Lanka win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 7, 2018 | Maldives 0-0 Sri Lanka | SAFF Championship |
| Sep 2, 2013 | Maldives 10-0 Sri Lanka | SAFF Championship |
How many goals should we expect?
Maldives score 0.9 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; Sri Lanka score 0.7 and concede 2.8.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maldives | 0.9 | 1.8 | 4 | 5/15 | 9/15 |
| Sri Lanka | 0.7 | 2.8 | 2 | 4/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy