Maldon & Tiptree vs Chatham Town: prediction and stats
Non League Premier - IsthmianRegular Season - 29Kick-off on January 30, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Drewitt-Barlow Stadium, Maldon, Essex
The Footlab model makes Maldon & Tiptree the favourite at 38%, against 25% for a draw and 37% for Chatham Town. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Maldon & Tiptree vs Chatham Town?
A very open match: only 39 Elo points separate Maldon & Tiptree (1,868) and Chatham Town (1,908).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Maldon & Tiptree have 8 wins, 3 draws and 4 defeats; Chatham Town have 8, 1 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Leatherhead(away) | 4-1 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Dartford(home) | 1-2 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Aveley(home) | 1-0 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Dulwich Hamlet(away) | 0-6 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Walthamstow(away) | 2-3 | Non League Div One - Isthmian North |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Whitehawk(away) | 3-0 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Three Bridges(home) | 3-1 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Dulwich Hamlet(home) | 3-1 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Aug 8, 2026 | St Albans City(away) | 1-3 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Maidstone Utd(home) | 0-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
How many goals should we expect?
Maldon & Tiptree score 1.9 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Chatham Town score 2.1 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 62% probability of over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maldon & Tiptree | 1.9 | 1.3 | 6 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
| Chatham Town | 2.1 | 1.2 | 6 | 7/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Maldon & Tiptree sit 12th in Non League Premier - Isthmian (6 points from 4 matches) and Chatham Town sit 4th (9 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Chatham Town | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 5 | 9 |
| 12 | Maldon & Tiptree | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 9 | 6 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Maldon & Tiptree vs Chatham Town?
- The Footlab model makes Maldon & Tiptree the favourite at 38%, against 25% for a draw and 37% for Chatham Town.
- Where and when is Maldon & Tiptree vs Chatham Town played?
- Maldon & Tiptree vs Chatham Town is played on January 30, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Drewitt-Barlow Stadium, in the Non League Premier - Isthmian.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 62% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Jan 30, 2027LeatherheadvsDartford
- Jan 30, 2027Eastbourne BoroughvsEnfield Town
- Jan 30, 2027WhitehawkvsCray Wanderers
- Jan 30, 2027AveleyvsCarshalton Athletic
- Jan 30, 2027Brentwood TownvsWingate & Finchley
- Jan 30, 2027Burgess Hill TownvsStanway Rovers
- Jan 30, 2027WhyteleafevsSt Albans City
- Jan 30, 2027CheshuntvsThree Bridges