Match

Leatherhead vs Dartford: prediction and stats

Non League Premier - IsthmianRegular Season - 29Kick-off on January 30, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Fetcham Grove, Leatherhead, Surrey

LeatherheadDartford

The Footlab model makes Leatherhead the favourite at 40%, against 25% for a draw and 35% for Dartford. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Leatherhead vs Dartford?

A very open match: only 14 Elo points separate Leatherhead (1,859) and Dartford (1,873).

Leatherhead win40 %
Draw25 %
Dartford win35 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Leatherhead have 9 wins, 4 draws and 2 defeats; Dartford have 9, 3 and 3.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Leatherhead
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Maldon & Tiptree(home)1-4Non League Premier - Isthmian
Aug 15, 2026Burgess Hill Town(away)2-2Non League Premier - Isthmian
Aug 11, 2026Welling United(home)4-1Non League Premier - Isthmian
Aug 8, 2026Ramsgate(away)2-1Non League Premier - Isthmian
Jul 25, 2026Ashford Town (Middlesex)(home)1-1Friendlies Clubs
Dartford
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Welling United(home)0-3Non League Premier - Isthmian
Aug 15, 2026Maldon & Tiptree(away)2-1Non League Premier - Isthmian
Aug 11, 2026Brentwood Town(home)1-0Non League Premier - Isthmian
Aug 8, 2026Three Bridges(away)3-2Non League Premier - Isthmian
Aug 1, 2026Ashford United(home)4-0Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Leatherhead win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Dartford win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Sep 14, 2024Dartford 2-0 LeatherheadFA Cup
Aug 1, 2023Leatherhead 3-1 DartfordFriendlies Clubs

Last archived meeting: Dartford vs Leatherhead on Sep 14, 2024

How many goals should we expect?

Leatherhead score 1.9 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Dartford score 1.9 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 62% probability of over 2.5 goals and 65% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Leatherhead1.91.2411/158/15
Dartford1.91.258/1511/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Leatherhead sit 8th in Non League Premier - Isthmian (7 points from 4 matches) and Dartford sit 5th (9 points from 4 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
5Dartford4301669
8Leatherhead4211987

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Leatherhead vs Dartford?
The Footlab model makes Leatherhead the favourite at 40%, against 25% for a draw and 35% for Dartford.
Where and when is Leatherhead vs Dartford played?
Leatherhead vs Dartford is played on January 30, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Fetcham Grove, in the Non League Premier - Isthmian.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 62% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Leatherhead and Dartford

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