Where and when is Mali U17 vs New Zealand U17 played?

Mali U17 vs New Zealand U17 is played on November 19, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stade Père-Jégo, in the World Cup - U17.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 75% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Mali U17 vs New Zealand U17: prediction and stats

World Cup - U17Group Stage - 1Kick-off on November 19, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stade Père-Jégo, Casablanca

Mali U17

New Zealand U17

The Footlab model makes Mali U17 the favourite at 62%, against 19% for a draw and 19% for New Zealand U17. The most likely score is 2-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Mali U17 vs New Zealand U17?

Mali U17 starts as the favourite with a 231-point Elo edge (1,625 vs 1,393).

Mali U17 win62 %

Draw19 %

New Zealand U17 win19 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Mali U17 have 7 wins, 5 draws and 3 defeats; New Zealand U17 have 1, 0 and 11.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Mali U17
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
May 24, 2026	Senegal U17(away)	1-1	CAF Cup of Nations - U17
May 20, 2026	Tanzania U17(home)	2-1	CAF Cup of Nations - U17
May 17, 2026	Mozambique U17(away)	1-1	CAF Cup of Nations - U17
May 14, 2026	Angola U17(home)	0-0	CAF Cup of Nations - U17
Nov 18, 2025	Morocco U17(away)	2-3	World Cup - U17

New Zealand U17
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Nov 11, 2025	Austria U17(home)	1-4	World Cup - U17
Nov 8, 2025	Saudi Arabia U17(away)	2-3	World Cup - U17
Nov 5, 2025	Mali U17(away)	0-3	World Cup - U17
Nov 18, 2023	Mexico W U17(home)	0-4	World Cup - U17
Nov 15, 2023	Germany U17(home)	1-3	World Cup - U17

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 1 meetings: 1 Mali U17 win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 New Zealand U17 win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Nov 5, 2025	Mali U17 3-0 New Zealand U17	World Cup - U17

Last archived meeting: Mali U17 vs New Zealand U17 on Nov 5, 2025

How many goals should we expect?

Mali U17 score 1.7 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; New Zealand U17 score 0.7 and concede 2.9. The model gives a 75% probability of over 2.5 goals and 69% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Mali U17	1.7	1.1	6	8/15	7/15
New Zealand U17	0.7	2.9	1	6/12	11/12

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Mali U17 vs New Zealand U17?: The Footlab model makes Mali U17 the favourite at 62%, against 19% for a draw and 19% for New Zealand U17.
Where and when is Mali U17 vs New Zealand U17 played?: Mali U17 vs New Zealand U17 is played on November 19, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stade Père-Jégo, in the World Cup - U17.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 75% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.