Mali U20 vs Guinea U20: prediction and stats
Africa Cup of Nations U20Qualification - 1Kick-off on October 15, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stade 26 Mars, Bamako
The Footlab AI model makes Mali U20 the favourite at 54%, against 25% for a draw and 21% for Guinea U20. The most likely score is 1-1. If Mali U20 wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,402 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Limited history for at least one of the two teams: read this prediction with caution.
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Mali U20 vs Guinea U20?
On Elo ratings, Mali U20 has 1,538 points and Guinea U20 1,467.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Mali U20 vs Guinea U20
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Mali U20
4-3-3- 20S. Koïta
- 9I. Koné
- 19L. N'Diaye
- 14S. Sissoko
- 8M. Camara
- 7Hadji Drame
- 13Clement Boubacar Kanoute
- 15A. Diaby
- 2A. Konan
- 4F. Konate
- 16Youssouf Warain Koita
Guinea U20
4-3-3- 20J. Keita
- 12Mohamed Coumbassa
- 9M. Yansane
- 6Mohamed Didé Fofana
- 4Oumar Toure
- 19Naby Bangoura
- 13M. Camara
- 5Mohamed Camara
- 3M. Diaby
- 11Jean Charles Fernandez
- 1Sékouba Camara
Computed on October 15, 2026 at 08:45 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Mali U20 have 5 wins, 6 draws and 4 defeats; Guinea U20 have 1, 1 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 14, 2025 | Japan U20(home) | 3-2 | Tournoi Maurice Revello |
| Jun 9, 2025 | Saudi Arabia U23(away) | 2-2 | Tournoi Maurice Revello |
| Jun 6, 2025 | France U20(away) | 1-1 | Tournoi Maurice Revello |
| Jun 3, 2025 | Panama U20(home) | 1-2 | Tournoi Maurice Revello |
| Jun 7, 2019 | Italy U20(away) | 2-4 | World Cup - U20 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 19, 2018 | Mauritania U20(home) | 3-2 | Africa Cup of Nations U20 |
| May 12, 2018 | Mauritania U20(away) | 0-1 | Africa Cup of Nations U20 |
| May 26, 2017 | Argentina U20(home) | 0-5 | World Cup - U20 |
| May 23, 2017 | England U20(away) | 1-1 | World Cup - U20 |
| May 20, 2017 | Korea Republic U20(away) | 0-3 | World Cup - U20 |
How many goals should we expect?
Mali U20 score 1.8 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Guinea U20 score 0.8 and concede 2.4. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mali U20 | 1.8 | 1.7 | 3 | 11/15 | 10/15 |
| Guinea U20 | 0.8 | 2.4 | 0 | 2/5 | 3/5 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
A question about Mali U20 vs Guinea U20?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Mali U20 vs Guinea U20?
- The Footlab AI model makes Mali U20 the favourite at 54%, against 25% for a draw and 21% for Guinea U20.
- Where and when is Mali U20 vs Guinea U20 played?
- Mali U20 vs Guinea U20 is played on October 15, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stade 26 Mars, in the Africa Cup of Nations U20.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.