Mali vs Burkina Faso: result 2-1 and analysis
Africa Cup of NationsRound of 16Kick-off on January 30, 2024 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Stade 26 Mars, Bamako
Full time
What was the result of Mali vs Burkina Faso?
Mali won 2-1 on January 30, 2024.
Goalscorers
- 3′E. TapsobaMali (o.g.)
- 47′L. SinayokoMali
- 57′B. TraoréBurkina Faso (pen.)
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Mali have 8 wins, 5 draws and 2 defeats; Burkina Faso have 6, 5 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 24, 2024 | Namibia(away) | 0-0 | Africa Cup of Nations |
| Jan 20, 2024 | Tunisia(away) | 1-1 | Africa Cup of Nations |
| Jan 16, 2024 | South Africa(home) | 2-0 | Africa Cup of Nations |
| Jan 6, 2024 | Guinea-Bissau(home) | 6-2 | Friendlies |
| Nov 20, 2023 | Central African Republic(home) | 1-1 | World Cup - Qualification Africa |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 23, 2024 | Angola(away) | 0-2 | Africa Cup of Nations |
| Jan 20, 2024 | Algeria(away) | 2-2 | Africa Cup of Nations |
| Jan 16, 2024 | Mauritania(home) | 1-0 | Africa Cup of Nations |
| Jan 10, 2024 | Congo DR(away) | 2-1 | Friendlies |
| Jan 5, 2024 | Iran(away) | 1-2 | Friendlies |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 2 Mali win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Burkina Faso win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 16, 2021 | Mali 1-0 Burkina Faso | African Nations Championship |
| Jan 7, 2017 | Mali 2-1 Burkina Faso | Friendlies |
How many goals should we expect?
Mali score 1.9 and concede 0.8 goals per match over their last 15; Burkina Faso score 1.1 and concede 1.0.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mali | 1.9 | 0.8 | 6 | 7/15 | 5/15 |
| Burkina Faso | 1.1 | 1.0 | 5 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Mali sit 2nd in Africa Cup of Nations (3 points from 3 matches) and Burkina Faso sit 2nd (6 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Mali | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 |
| 2 | Burkina Faso | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 6 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy