Mali vs Mauritania: result 2-1 and analysis
African Nations Championship1st RoundKick-off on October 18, 2015 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Stade 26 Mars, Bamako
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What was the result of Mali vs Mauritania?
Mali won 2-1 on October 18, 2015.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 9 matches in all competitions, Mali have 3 wins, 4 draws and 2 defeats; Mauritania have 2, 1 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 28, 2015 | Guinea(away) | 1-1 | Africa Cup of Nations |
| Jan 24, 2015 | Ivory Coast(away) | 1-1 | Africa Cup of Nations |
| Jan 20, 2015 | Cameroon(home) | 1-1 | Africa Cup of Nations |
| Jan 25, 2014 | Zimbabwe(home) | 1-2 | African Nations Championship |
| Jan 19, 2014 | Mozambique(away) | 2-1 | African Nations Championship |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 13, 2015 | South Sudan(home) | 4-0 | World Cup - Qualification Africa |
| Oct 8, 2015 | South Sudan(away) | 1-1 | World Cup - Qualification Africa |
| Jan 22, 2014 | Gabon(home) | 2-4 | African Nations Championship |
| Jan 18, 2014 | Burundi(away) | 2-3 | African Nations Championship |
| Jan 14, 2014 | Congo DR(away) | 0-1 | African Nations Championship |
How many goals should we expect?
Mali score 1.3 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 9; Mauritania score 1.6 and concede 1.4.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mali | 1.3 | 1.1 | 0 | 8/9 | 4/9 |
| Mauritania | 1.6 | 1.4 | 2 | 3/7 | 3/7 |
Over the last 9 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Mauritania | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 7 |
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy