Central African Republic vs Mauritania: prediction and stats
Africa Cup of Nations - QualificationQualification - 5Kick-off on March 24, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Stade Omnisports de Bafoussam, Bafoussam
The Footlab AI model makes Mauritania the favourite at 40%, against 30% for a draw and 30% for Central African Republic. The most likely score is 1-1. If Mauritania wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.2% of the 5,556 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 12, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Central African Republic vs Mauritania?
Mauritania starts as the favourite with a 139-point Elo edge (1,478 vs 1,339).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Central African Republic vs Mauritania
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Central African Republic
4-2-3-1- 9L. Mafouta
- 10G. Koyalipou
- 6B. Diomandé
- 8I. Solet Bomawoko
- 19G. Kondogbia
- 17J. Sambia
- 23H. Gambor
- 2J. Kouadio
- 4S. Mbaka
- MM. Doudou
- 16D. Youfeigane
Mauritania
4-3-3- 11D. Gassama
- 10I. Thiam
- 18D. Camara
- 6O. Ngom
- 7A. Koita
- 8M. Bodda
- 5L. Ba
- 3A. Abeid
- 21J. Lefort
- 13N. El Abd
- 30M. Diop
Computed on November 12, 2026 at 10:33 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Central African Republic have 1 win, 4 draws and 10 defeats; Mauritania have 5, 4 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 12, 2026 | Benin(away) | 1-4 | Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification |
| Sep 28, 2026 | Burkina Faso(home) | 0-1 | Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification |
| Sep 24, 2026 | Mauritania(away) | 1-3 | Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification |
| Jun 9, 2026 | Angola(away) | 0-3 | Friendlies |
| Jun 5, 2026 | Togo(home) | 1-1 | Friendlies |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 29, 2026 | Benin(away) | 1-2 | Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification |
| Sep 24, 2026 | Central African Republic(home) | 3-1 | Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification |
| Jun 8, 2026 | Niger(away) | 1-0 | Friendlies |
| Jun 5, 2026 | Angola(away) | 1-1 | Friendlies |
| Mar 27, 2026 | Argentina(away) | 1-2 | Friendlies |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 0 Central African Republic wins, 0 draws, 5 Mauritania wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 24, 2026 | Mauritania 3-1 Central African Republic | Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification |
| Aug 9, 2025 | Central African Republic 0-1 Mauritania | African Nations Championship |
| Jun 6, 2025 | Mauritania 2-1 Central African Republic | Friendlies |
| Mar 30, 2021 | Central African Republic 0-1 Mauritania | Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification |
| Nov 19, 2019 | Mauritania 2-0 Central African Republic | Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification |
Last archived meeting: Mauritania vs Central African Republic on Sep 24, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Central African Republic score 0.6 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; Mauritania score 0.8 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 41% probability of over 2.5 goals and 47% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Central African Republic | 0.6 | 2.1 | 2 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
| Mauritania | 0.8 | 1.0 | 6 | 5/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Central African Republic sit 4th in Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification (0 points from 2 matches) and Mauritania sit 3rd (3 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Mauritania | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 3 |
| 4 | Central African Republic | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 0 |
A question about Central African Republic vs Mauritania?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Central African Republic vs Mauritania?
- The Footlab AI model makes Mauritania the favourite at 40%, against 30% for a draw and 30% for Central African Republic.
- Where and when is Central African Republic vs Mauritania played?
- Central African Republic vs Mauritania is played on March 24, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Stade Omnisports de Bafoussam, in the Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 41% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.2% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.