Mali vs Uganda: result 2-2 and analysis
African Nations ChampionshipGroup Stage - 1Kick-off on January 19, 2016 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stade 26 Mars, Bamako
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What was the result of Mali vs Uganda?
Mali and Uganda drew 2-2 on January 19, 2016.
Goalscorers
- 12′J. OchayaUganda
- 23′S. KoïtaMali
- 41′F. MiyaUganda (pen.)
- 60′Hamidou SinayokoMali
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 13 matches in all competitions, Mali have 5 wins, 5 draws and 3 defeats; Uganda have 10, 3 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 17, 2015 | Botswana(home) | 2-0 | World Cup - Qualification Africa |
| Nov 14, 2015 | Botswana(away) | 1-2 | World Cup - Qualification Africa |
| Oct 23, 2015 | Mauritania(away) | 1-1 | African Nations Championship |
| Oct 18, 2015 | Mauritania(home) | 2-1 | African Nations Championship |
| Jan 28, 2015 | Guinea(away) | 1-1 | Africa Cup of Nations |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 5, 2015 | Rwanda(home) | 1-0 | CECAFA Senior Challenge Cup |
| Dec 3, 2015 | Ethiopia(away) | 0-0 | CECAFA Senior Challenge Cup |
| Nov 30, 2015 | Malawi(home) | 2-0 | CECAFA Senior Challenge Cup |
| Nov 28, 2015 | Burundi(home) | 1-0 | CECAFA Senior Challenge Cup |
| Nov 24, 2015 | Zanzibar(away) | 4-0 | CECAFA Senior Challenge Cup |
How many goals should we expect?
Mali score 1.4 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 13; Uganda score 1.5 and concede 0.5.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mali | 1.4 | 1.1 | 1 | 11/13 | 6/13 |
| Uganda | 1.5 | 0.5 | 11 | 3/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 13 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Uganda | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 6 | 7 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy