Match

Malmö FF W vs Ajax W: prediction and stats

UEFA Europa Cup - WomenRound of 16Kick-off on November 10, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Malmö Stadion, Malmö

Malmö FF WAjax W

The Footlab AI model makes Malmö FF W the favourite at 73%, against 16% for a draw and 11% for Ajax W. The most likely score is 2-1.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.2% of the 4,444 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Nov 4, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Malmö FF W vs Ajax W?

Malmö FF W starts as the favourite with a 100-point Elo edge (1,996 vs 1,896).

73%16%11%
Malmö FF W winDrawAjax W win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Malmö FF W vs Ajax W

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Malmö FF W

4-2-3-1
  1. 8M. Persson
  1. 4E. Löfqvist
  2. 10I. D'Aquila
  3. 21A. Sayer
  4. 19L. Russell
  5. 11V. Milivojević
  1. 13E. Petrović
  2. 3C. Grant
  3. 2N. Hoff-Persson
  4. 15A. Mårtensson
  1. 1Z. Mušović

Ajax W

4-3-3
  1. 9K. Snoeijs
  2. 26Xanne Kip
  3. 7R. Derks
  1. 8S. Spitse
  2. 19M. van Koppen
  3. 6N. Noordam
  1. 15E. Touon
  2. 5A. Knol
  3. 4S. Kees
  4. 24D. de Klonia
  1. 28F. Liefting

Computed on November 4, 2026 at 03:21 AM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Malmö FF W have 10 wins, 3 draws and 2 defeats; Ajax W have 9, 0 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Malmö FF W
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Nov 2, 2026Norrköping W(home)1-1Damallsvenskan
Oct 28, 2026Ajax W(away)2-1UEFA Europa Cup - Women
Oct 24, 2026Kristianstad W(away)2-1Damallsvenskan
Oct 17, 2026AIK W(home)3-2Damallsvenskan
Oct 4, 2026Rosengård W(home)1-0Damallsvenskan
Ajax W
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Nov 1, 2026Twente W(home)2-0Eredivisie Women
Oct 28, 2026Malmö FF W(home)1-2UEFA Europa Cup - Women
Oct 18, 2026PSV/Eindhoven W(home)1-4Eredivisie Women
Oct 4, 2026Feyenoord W(away)4-1Eredivisie Women
Sep 30, 2026Aktobe W(away)0-1UEFA Europa Cup - Women

What does the head-to-head say?

In the last meeting: 1 Malmö FF W win, 0 draws, 0 Ajax W wins.

DateScoreCompetition
Oct 28, 2026Ajax W 1-2 Malmö FF WUEFA Europa Cup - Women

Last archived meeting: Ajax W vs Malmö FF W on Oct 28, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Malmö FF W score 2.1 and concede 0.8 goals per match over their last 15; Ajax W score 2.3 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 71% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Malmö FF W2.10.877/158/15
Ajax W2.31.258/159/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

A question about Malmö FF W vs Ajax W?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Malmö FF W vs Ajax W?
The Footlab AI model makes Malmö FF W the favourite at 73%, against 16% for a draw and 11% for Ajax W.
Where and when is Malmö FF W vs Ajax W played?
Malmö FF W vs Ajax W is played on November 10, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Malmö Stadion, in the UEFA Europa Cup - Women.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 71% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.2% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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