Malmö FF W vs Ajax W: prediction and stats
UEFA Europa Cup - WomenRound of 16Kick-off on November 10, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Malmö Stadion, Malmö
The Footlab AI model makes Malmö FF W the favourite at 73%, against 16% for a draw and 11% for Ajax W. The most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.2% of the 4,444 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 4, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Malmö FF W vs Ajax W?
Malmö FF W starts as the favourite with a 100-point Elo edge (1,996 vs 1,896).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Malmö FF W vs Ajax W
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Malmö FF W
4-2-3-1- 8M. Persson
- 4E. Löfqvist
- 10I. D'Aquila
- 21A. Sayer
- 19L. Russell
- 11V. MilivojeviÄ
- 13E. PetroviÄ
- 3C. Grant
- 2N. Hoff-Persson
- 15A. Mårtensson
- 1Z. Mušović
Ajax W
4-3-3- 9K. Snoeijs
- 26Xanne Kip
- 7R. Derks
- 8S. Spitse
- 19M. van Koppen
- 6N. Noordam
- 15E. Touon
- 5A. Knol
- 4S. Kees
- 24D. de Klonia
- 28F. Liefting
Computed on November 4, 2026 at 03:21 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Malmö FF W have 10 wins, 3 draws and 2 defeats; Ajax W have 9, 0 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 2, 2026 | Norrköping W(home) | 1-1 | Damallsvenskan |
| Oct 28, 2026 | Ajax W(away) | 2-1 | UEFA Europa Cup - Women |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Kristianstad W(away) | 2-1 | Damallsvenskan |
| Oct 17, 2026 | AIK W(home) | 3-2 | Damallsvenskan |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Rosengård W(home) | 1-0 | Damallsvenskan |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2026 | Twente W(home) | 2-0 | Eredivisie Women |
| Oct 28, 2026 | Malmö FF W(home) | 1-2 | UEFA Europa Cup - Women |
| Oct 18, 2026 | PSV/Eindhoven W(home) | 1-4 | Eredivisie Women |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Feyenoord W(away) | 4-1 | Eredivisie Women |
| Sep 30, 2026 | Aktobe W(away) | 0-1 | UEFA Europa Cup - Women |
What does the head-to-head say?
In the last meeting: 1 Malmö FF W win, 0 draws, 0 Ajax W wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 28, 2026 | Ajax W 1-2 Malmö FF W | UEFA Europa Cup - Women |
How many goals should we expect?
Malmö FF W score 2.1 and concede 0.8 goals per match over their last 15; Ajax W score 2.3 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 71% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Malmö FF W | 2.1 | 0.8 | 7 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
| Ajax W | 2.3 | 1.2 | 5 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
A question about Malmö FF W vs Ajax W?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Malmö FF W vs Ajax W?
- The Footlab AI model makes Malmö FF W the favourite at 73%, against 16% for a draw and 11% for Ajax W.
- Where and when is Malmö FF W vs Ajax W played?
- Malmö FF W vs Ajax W is played on November 10, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Malmö Stadion, in the UEFA Europa Cup - Women.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 71% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.2% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
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