AZ W vs Ajax W: prediction and stats
Eredivisie WomenRegular Season - 10Kick-off on November 14, 2026 at 03:30 PM (UTC)AFAS Trainingscomplex, Wijdewormer
The Footlab AI model makes Ajax W the favourite at 75%, against 15% for a draw and 10% for AZ W. The most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 2,798 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 19, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win AZ W vs Ajax W?
Ajax W starts as the favourite with a 292-point Elo edge (1,916 vs 1,624).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for AZ W vs Ajax W
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
AZ W
4-3-3- 7Sabrine Ellouzi
- 25E. Bakker
- 18S. Dessing
- 21Jasmijn Van Uden
- 4K. Woons
- 22K. Thomas
- 5C. Mol
- 3D. De Ridder
- 6J. van Beijeren
- 23M. Stoop
- 13F. Copier
Ajax W
4-3-3- 9K. Snoeijs
- 26Xanne Kip
- 7R. Derks
- 8S. Spitse
- 19M. van Koppen
- 6N. Noordam
- 15E. Touon
- 5A. Knol
- 12J. van Hensbergen
- 4S. Kees
- 28F. Liefting
Computed on October 19, 2026 at 09:23 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, AZ W have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Ajax W have 10, 0 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 4, 2026 | De Graafschap W(away) | 0-3 | Eredivisie Women |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Twente W(home) | 0-5 | Eredivisie Women |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Ajax W(away) | 1-5 | Eredivisie Women |
| Sep 13, 2026 | PSV/Eindhoven W(home) | 3-1 | Eredivisie Women |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Utrecht W(home) | 1-0 | Eredivisie Women |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | PSV/Eindhoven W(home) | 1-4 | Eredivisie Women |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Feyenoord W(away) | 4-1 | Eredivisie Women |
| Sep 30, 2026 | Aktobe W(away) | 0-1 | UEFA Europa Cup - Women |
| Sep 26, 2026 | ADO Den Haag W(home) | 7-1 | Eredivisie Women |
| Sep 23, 2026 | Aktobe W(home) | 8-0 | UEFA Europa Cup - Women |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 AZ W wins, 1 draw, 5 Ajax W wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 19, 2026 | Ajax W 5-1 AZ W | Eredivisie Women |
| May 8, 2026 | Ajax W 3-1 AZ W | Eredivisie Women |
| Sep 28, 2025 | AZ W 0-0 Ajax W | Eredivisie Women |
| Jan 19, 2025 | Ajax W 4-2 AZ W | Eredivisie Women |
| Oct 6, 2024 | AZ W 1-2 Ajax W | Eredivisie Women |
| Apr 25, 2024 | Ajax W 3-0 AZ W | Eredivisie Women |
How many goals should we expect?
AZ W score 1.5 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; Ajax W score 2.5 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 76% probability of over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AZ W | 1.5 | 2.1 | 2 | 11/15 | 11/15 |
| Ajax W | 2.5 | 1.1 | 5 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
AZ W sit 5th in Eredivisie Women (12 points from 7 matches) and Ajax W sit 2nd (18 points from 8 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Ajax W | 8 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 21 | 10 | 18 |
| 5 | AZ W | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 16 | 12 |
A question about AZ W vs Ajax W?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for AZ W vs Ajax W?
- The Footlab AI model makes Ajax W the favourite at 75%, against 15% for a draw and 10% for AZ W.
- Where and when is AZ W vs Ajax W played?
- AZ W vs Ajax W is played on November 14, 2026 at 03:30 PM (UTC) at AFAS Trainingscomplex, in the Eredivisie Women.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 76% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.