Malole vs Simba: prediction and stats
Ligue 1Regular Season - 2Kick-off on October 27, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)
The Footlab AI model makes Simba the favourite at 42%, against 31% for a draw and 27% for Malole. The most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 2,343 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 13, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Malole vs Simba?
Simba starts as the favourite with a 127-point Elo edge (1,641 vs 1,514).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Malole vs Simba
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Malole
Not enough data to predict the Malole lineup.
Simba
Not enough data to predict the Simba lineup.
Computed on October 13, 2026 at 07:46 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Malole have 2 wins, 3 draws and 10 defeats; Simba have 2, 5 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 22, 2026 | Sanga Balende(home) | 1-2 | Ligue 1 |
| Apr 2, 2026 | Don Bosco(away) | 2-4 | Ligue 1 |
| Mar 29, 2026 | Tanganyika(home) | 3-1 | Ligue 1 |
| Mar 25, 2026 | Saint-Luc(away) | 1-1 | Ligue 1 |
| Mar 18, 2026 | TP Mazembe(home) | 0-3 | Ligue 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 20, 2026 | Maniema Union(home) | 2-1 | Ligue 1 |
| Jun 17, 2026 | Vita Club(home) | 0-0 | Ligue 1 |
| Jun 14, 2026 | JSK(away) | 0-1 | Ligue 1 |
| Jun 10, 2026 | Céleste(away) | 1-1 | Ligue 1 |
| Jun 6, 2026 | Saint Eloi Lupopo(home) | 0-3 | Ligue 1 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 2 Malole wins, 0 draws, 2 Simba wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 16, 2026 | Simba 3-1 Malole | Ligue 1 |
| Dec 22, 2025 | Malole 1-0 Simba | Ligue 1 |
| Mar 23, 2025 | Malole 1-0 Simba | Ligue 1 |
| Dec 10, 2024 | Simba 5-0 Malole | Ligue 1 |
How many goals should we expect?
Malole score 0.9 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Simba score 0.6 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 34% probability of over 2.5 goals and 41% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Malole | 0.9 | 1.7 | 1 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
| Simba | 0.6 | 1.3 | 3 | 5/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Malole sit 11th in Ligue 1 (33 points from 30 matches) and Simba sit 4th (50 points from 30 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Simba | 30 | 14 | 8 | 8 | 33 | 27 | 50 |
| 11 | Malole | 30 | 9 | 6 | 15 | 34 | 39 | 33 |
A question about Malole vs Simba?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Malole vs Simba?
- The Footlab AI model makes Simba the favourite at 42%, against 31% for a draw and 27% for Malole.
- Where and when is Malole vs Simba played?
- Malole vs Simba is played on October 27, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC), in the Ligue 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 34% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.