Match

New Jack vs Etoile de Kivu: prediction and stats

Ligue 1Regular Season - 2Kick-off on October 24, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC)

New JackEtoile de Kivu

The Footlab AI model makes New Jack the favourite at 35%, against 32% for a draw and 33% for Etoile de Kivu. The most likely score is 1-1. If New Jack wins, the most likely score is 1-0.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 3,065 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 23, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win New Jack vs Etoile de Kivu?

A very open match: only 23 Elo points separate New Jack (1,514) and Etoile de Kivu (1,537).

35%32%33%
New Jack winDrawEtoile de Kivu win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for New Jack vs Etoile de Kivu

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

New Jack

Not enough data to predict the New Jack lineup.

Etoile de Kivu

Not enough data to predict the Etoile de Kivu lineup.

Computed on October 23, 2026 at 08:07 PM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, New Jack have 2 wins, 7 draws and 6 defeats; Etoile de Kivu have 4, 4 and 7.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

New Jack
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 21, 2026Anges Verts(away)0-2Ligue 1
Apr 18, 2026Anges Verts(away)0-0Ligue 1
Apr 14, 2026Bukavu Dawa(home)1-1Ligue 1
Apr 1, 2026Vita Club(home)1-2Ligue 1
Mar 27, 2026FC Renaissance(home)2-2Ligue 1
Etoile de Kivu
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Apr 15, 2026Motema Pembe(home)1-5Ligue 1
Apr 9, 2026Rangers(away)1-0Ligue 1
Mar 29, 2026Céleste(away)0-1Ligue 1
Mar 1, 2026JSK(home)2-2Ligue 1
Feb 22, 2026Maniema Union(away)2-3Ligue 1

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 3 meetings: 1 New Jack win, 0 draws, 2 Etoile de Kivu wins.

DateScoreCompetition
Jan 28, 2026Etoile de Kivu 0-1 New JackLigue 1
Nov 24, 2025New Jack 0-1 Etoile de KivuLigue 1
Nov 23, 2024Etoile de Kivu 1-0 New JackLigue 1

Last archived meeting: Etoile de Kivu vs New Jack on Jan 28, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

New Jack score 0.6 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Etoile de Kivu score 1.0 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 35% probability of over 2.5 goals and 43% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
New Jack0.61.156/153/15
Etoile de Kivu1.01.456/156/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
13New Jack1001020

A question about New Jack vs Etoile de Kivu?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for New Jack vs Etoile de Kivu?
The Footlab AI model makes New Jack the favourite at 35%, against 32% for a draw and 33% for Etoile de Kivu.
Where and when is New Jack vs Etoile de Kivu played?
New Jack vs Etoile de Kivu is played on October 24, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC), in the Ligue 1.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 35% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: New Jack and Etoile de Kivu

Ready to know everything about football?