Etoile de Kivu vs Anges Verts: prediction and stats
Ligue 1Regular Season - 2Kick-off on October 25, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC)Stade de la Concorde, Bukavu
The Footlab AI model makes Etoile de Kivu the favourite at 44%, against 28% for a draw and 28% for Anges Verts. The most likely score is 1-1. If Etoile de Kivu wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,525 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 17, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Etoile de Kivu vs Anges Verts?
A very open match: only 6 Elo points separate Etoile de Kivu (1,546) and Anges Verts (1,540).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Etoile de Kivu vs Anges Verts
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Etoile de Kivu
Not enough data to predict the Etoile de Kivu lineup.
Anges Verts
Not enough data to predict the Anges Verts lineup.
Computed on October 17, 2026 at 09:52 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Etoile de Kivu have 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 defeats; Anges Verts have 3, 8 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 15, 2026 | Motema Pembe(home) | 1-5 | Ligue 1 |
| Apr 9, 2026 | Rangers(away) | 1-0 | Ligue 1 |
| Mar 29, 2026 | Céleste(away) | 0-1 | Ligue 1 |
| Mar 1, 2026 | JSK(home) | 2-2 | Ligue 1 |
| Feb 22, 2026 | Maniema Union(away) | 2-3 | Ligue 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 18, 2026 | New Jack(home) | 0-0 | Ligue 1 |
| Apr 11, 2026 | Motema Pembe(home) | 1-0 | Ligue 1 |
| Apr 8, 2026 | JSK(away) | 1-4 | Ligue 1 |
| Apr 1, 2026 | Maniema Union(home) | 0-0 | Ligue 1 |
| Mar 22, 2026 | Rangers(home) | 4-2 | Ligue 1 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 1 Etoile de Kivu win, 1 draw, 1 Anges Verts win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 16, 2026 | Anges Verts 1-1 Etoile de Kivu | Ligue 1 |
| Oct 26, 2025 | Etoile de Kivu 3-2 Anges Verts | Ligue 1 |
| Oct 19, 2024 | Anges Verts 2-1 Etoile de Kivu | Ligue 1 |
Last archived meeting: Anges Verts vs Etoile de Kivu on Jan 16, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Etoile de Kivu score 1.0 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Anges Verts score 0.9 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 47% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Etoile de Kivu | 1.0 | 1.4 | 5 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
| Anges Verts | 0.9 | 1.1 | 6 | 7/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Etoile de Kivu sit 6th in Ligue 1 (36 points from 26 matches) and Anges Verts sit 8th (29 points from 26 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Etoile de Kivu | 26 | 10 | 6 | 10 | 34 | 35 | 36 |
| 8 | Anges Verts | 26 | 6 | 11 | 9 | 26 | 32 | 29 |
A question about Etoile de Kivu vs Anges Verts?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Etoile de Kivu vs Anges Verts?
- The Footlab AI model makes Etoile de Kivu the favourite at 44%, against 28% for a draw and 28% for Anges Verts.
- Where and when is Etoile de Kivu vs Anges Verts played?
- Etoile de Kivu vs Anges Verts is played on October 25, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC) at Stade de la Concorde, in the Ligue 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.