Malut United vs Bhayangkara FC: prediction and stats
Liga 1Regular Season - 8Kick-off on October 30, 2026 at 08:30 AM (UTC)
The Footlab model makes Malut United the favourite at 49%, against 22% for a draw and 28% for Bhayangkara FC. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Malut United vs Bhayangkara FC?
A very open match: only 8 Elo points separate Malut United (1,765) and Bhayangkara FC (1,758).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Malut United have 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 defeats; Bhayangkara FC have 9, 0 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 23, 2026 | Pusamania Borneo(away) | 1-7 | Liga 1 |
| May 16, 2026 | Persita(home) | 1-1 | Liga 1 |
| May 10, 2026 | PSIM Yogyakarta(away) | 0-2 | Liga 1 |
| May 2, 2026 | Persis Solo(home) | 5-2 | Liga 1 |
| Apr 28, 2026 | PSBS Biak Numfor(away) | 7-0 | Liga 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 23, 2026 | PSBS Biak Numfor(home) | 7-0 | Liga 1 |
| May 17, 2026 | Bali United(away) | 1-4 | Liga 1 |
| May 11, 2026 | Persepam Madura Utd(home) | 3-1 | Liga 1 |
| May 4, 2026 | PSM Makassar(away) | 1-2 | Liga 1 |
| Apr 30, 2026 | Persib Bandung(home) | 2-4 | Liga 1 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Malut United win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Bhayangkara FC win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 31, 2026 | Malut United 1-2 Bhayangkara FC | Liga 1 |
| Sep 25, 2025 | Bhayangkara FC 0-1 Malut United | Liga 1 |
Last archived meeting: Malut United vs Bhayangkara FC on Jan 31, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Malut United score 2.0 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; Bhayangkara FC score 2.4 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 69% probability of over 2.5 goals and 68% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Malut United | 2.0 | 2.1 | 2 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
| Bhayangkara FC | 2.4 | 1.7 | 3 | 12/15 | 14/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Malut United sit 6th in Liga 1 (53 points from 34 matches) and Bhayangkara FC sit 5th (53 points from 34 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Bhayangkara FC | 34 | 16 | 5 | 13 | 53 | 45 | 53 |
| 6 | Malut United | 34 | 15 | 8 | 11 | 68 | 53 | 53 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Malut United vs Bhayangkara FC?
- The Footlab model makes Malut United the favourite at 49%, against 22% for a draw and 28% for Bhayangkara FC.
- Where and when is Malut United vs Bhayangkara FC played?
- Malut United vs Bhayangkara FC is played on October 30, 2026 at 08:30 AM (UTC), in the Liga 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 69% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.