Bali United vs Bhayangkara FC: prediction and stats
Liga 1Regular Season - 11Kick-off on November 28, 2026 at 08:30 AM (UTC)Stadion Kapten I Wayan Dipta, Gianyar
The Footlab model makes Bali United the favourite at 51%, against 24% for a draw and 26% for Bhayangkara FC. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Bali United vs Bhayangkara FC?
A very open match: only 17 Elo points separate Bali United (1,775) and Bhayangkara FC (1,758).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Bali United have 7 wins, 2 draws and 6 defeats; Bhayangkara FC have 9, 0 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 18, 2026 | Persib Bandung(away) | 2-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 22, 2026 | Dewa United(away) | 1-0 | Liga 1 |
| May 17, 2026 | Bhayangkara FC(home) | 4-1 | Liga 1 |
| May 11, 2026 | Pusamania Borneo(home) | 2-3 | Liga 1 |
| May 5, 2026 | Persepam Madura Utd(away) | 0-2 | Liga 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 23, 2026 | PSBS Biak Numfor(home) | 7-0 | Liga 1 |
| May 17, 2026 | Bali United(away) | 1-4 | Liga 1 |
| May 11, 2026 | Persepam Madura Utd(home) | 3-1 | Liga 1 |
| May 4, 2026 | PSM Makassar(away) | 1-2 | Liga 1 |
| Apr 30, 2026 | Persib Bandung(home) | 2-4 | Liga 1 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Bali United win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Bhayangkara FC win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 17, 2026 | Bali United 4-1 Bhayangkara FC | Liga 1 |
| Nov 7, 2025 | Bhayangkara FC 2-1 Bali United | Liga 1 |
| Apr 20, 2024 | Bali United 2-1 Bhayangkara FC | Liga 1 |
| Oct 8, 2023 | Bhayangkara FC 1-2 Bali United | Liga 1 |
| Mar 11, 2023 | Bhayangkara FC 3-1 Bali United | Liga 1 |
| Dec 8, 2022 | Bali United 3-0 Bhayangkara FC | Liga 1 |
Last archived meeting: Bali United vs Bhayangkara FC on May 17, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Bali United score 2.1 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Bhayangkara FC score 2.4 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 62% probability of over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bali United | 2.1 | 1.6 | 4 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
| Bhayangkara FC | 2.4 | 1.7 | 3 | 12/15 | 14/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Bali United sit 8th in Liga 1 (51 points from 34 matches) and Bhayangkara FC sit 5th (53 points from 34 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Bhayangkara FC | 34 | 16 | 5 | 13 | 53 | 45 | 53 |
| 8 | Bali United | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 57 | 48 | 51 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Bali United vs Bhayangkara FC?
- The Footlab model makes Bali United the favourite at 51%, against 24% for a draw and 26% for Bhayangkara FC.
- Where and when is Bali United vs Bhayangkara FC played?
- Bali United vs Bhayangkara FC is played on November 28, 2026 at 08:30 AM (UTC) at Stadion Kapten I Wayan Dipta, in the Liga 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 62% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Nov 27, 2026AdhyaksavsPSS Sleman
- Nov 27, 2026Pusamania BorneovsPersik Kediri
- Nov 28, 2026PSIM YogyakartavsPersijap
- Nov 28, 2026PSM MakassarvsDewa United
- Nov 28, 2026Persepam Madura UtdvsMalut United
- Nov 28, 2026PersijavsGarudayaksa
- Nov 29, 2026Arema FCvsPersebaya Surabaya
- Nov 29, 2026PersitavsPersib Bandung