Match

Malvern Town vs Berkhamsted: prediction and stats

Non League Premier - Southern SouthRegular Season - 42Kick-off on April 17, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC)HD Anywhere Stadium, Malvern, Worcestershire

Malvern TownBerkhamsted

The Footlab model makes Malvern Town the favourite at 44%, against 24% for a draw and 32% for Berkhamsted. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Malvern Town vs Berkhamsted?

A very open match: only 25 Elo points separate Malvern Town (1,826) and Berkhamsted (1,851).

Malvern Town win44 %
Draw24 %
Berkhamsted win32 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Malvern Town have 8 wins, 2 draws and 5 defeats; Berkhamsted have 9, 0 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Malvern Town
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Wimborne Town(home)0-3Non League Premier - Southern South
Aug 15, 2026Bracknell Town(away)0-0Non League Premier - Southern South
Aug 11, 2026Taunton Town(away)2-5Non League Premier - Southern South
Aug 8, 2026Hanwell Town(home)2-2Non League Premier - Southern South
Aug 1, 2026Rushall Olympic(home)1-2Friendlies Clubs
Berkhamsted
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Poole Town(home)2-3Non League Premier - Southern South
Aug 15, 2026Taunton Town(away)1-2Non League Premier - Southern South
Aug 11, 2026Chertsey Town(away)1-4Non League Premier - Southern South
Aug 8, 2026Havant & Wville(home)2-0Non League Premier - Southern South
Apr 29, 2026Farnham Town(away)1-2Non League Premier - Southern South

How many goals should we expect?

Malvern Town score 1.9 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; Berkhamsted score 1.7 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 62% probability of over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Malvern Town1.91.848/1511/15
Berkhamsted1.71.368/158/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Malvern Town sit 22nd in Non League Premier - Southern South (2 points from 4 matches) and Berkhamsted sit 20th (3 points from 4 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
20Berkhamsted4103693
22Malvern Town40224102

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Malvern Town vs Berkhamsted?
The Footlab model makes Malvern Town the favourite at 44%, against 24% for a draw and 32% for Berkhamsted.
Where and when is Malvern Town vs Berkhamsted played?
Malvern Town vs Berkhamsted is played on April 17, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at HD Anywhere Stadium, in the Non League Premier - Southern South.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 62% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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