Malvern Town vs Uxbridge: prediction and stats
Non League Premier - Southern SouthRegular Season - 32Kick-off on February 13, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)HD Anywhere Stadium, Malvern, Worcestershire
The Footlab model makes Malvern Town the favourite at 43%, against 24% for a draw and 33% for Uxbridge. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Malvern Town vs Uxbridge?
A very open match: only 29 Elo points separate Malvern Town (1,794) and Uxbridge (1,823).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Malvern Town have 8 wins, 2 draws and 5 defeats; Uxbridge have 9, 5 and 1.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Wimborne Town(home) | 0-3 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Bracknell Town(away) | 0-0 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Taunton Town(away) | 2-5 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Hanwell Town(home) | 2-2 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Rushall Olympic(home) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Taunton Town(home) | 5-4 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Gosport Borough(away) | 1-1 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Havant & Wville(away) | 2-0 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Chippenham Town(home) | 2-0 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Poole Town(home) | 3-3 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
How many goals should we expect?
Malvern Town score 1.9 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; Uxbridge score 2.6 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 63% probability of over 2.5 goals and 65% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Malvern Town | 1.9 | 1.8 | 4 | 8/15 | 11/15 |
| Uxbridge | 2.6 | 1.3 | 5 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Malvern Town sit 22nd in Non League Premier - Southern South (2 points from 4 matches) and Uxbridge sit 2nd (10 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Uxbridge | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 5 | 10 |
| 22 | Malvern Town | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 2 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Malvern Town vs Uxbridge?
- The Footlab model makes Malvern Town the favourite at 43%, against 24% for a draw and 33% for Uxbridge.
- Where and when is Malvern Town vs Uxbridge played?
- Malvern Town vs Uxbridge is played on February 13, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at HD Anywhere Stadium, in the Non League Premier - Southern South.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 63% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Feb 13, 2027Havant & WvillevsBath City
- Feb 13, 2027BerkhamstedvsChichester City
- Feb 13, 2027Bracknell TownvsTaunton Town
- Feb 13, 2027Evesham UnitedvsChertsey Town
- Feb 13, 2027Hanwell TownvsPoole Town
- Feb 13, 2027SholingvsYate Town
- Feb 13, 2027Gosport BoroughvsWimborne Town
- Feb 13, 2027Chippenham TownvsHanworth Villa