Match

Evesham United vs Chertsey Town: prediction and stats

Non League Premier - Southern SouthRegular Season - 32Kick-off on February 13, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)The Spiers & Hartwell Jubilee Stadium, Evesham, Worcestershire

Evesham UnitedChertsey Town

The Footlab model makes Chertsey Town the favourite at 46%, against 24% for a draw and 30% for Evesham United. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Evesham United vs Chertsey Town?

Chertsey Town starts as the favourite with a 130-point Elo edge (1,843 vs 1,713).

Evesham United win30 %
Draw24 %
Chertsey Town win46 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Evesham United have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Chertsey Town have 9, 2 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Evesham United
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Hanworth Villa(away)1-4Non League Premier - Southern South
Aug 15, 2026Chichester City(home)3-0Non League Premier - Southern South
Aug 11, 2026Frome Town(home)0-4Non League Premier - Southern South
Aug 8, 2026Basingstoke Town(away)4-2Non League Premier - Southern South
Jul 31, 2026Bishop's Cleeve(home)1-1Friendlies Clubs
Chertsey Town
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Sholing(away)4-2Non League Premier - Southern South
Aug 15, 2026Yate Town(home)1-1Non League Premier - Southern South
Aug 11, 2026Berkhamsted(home)4-1Non League Premier - Southern South
Aug 8, 2026Gloucester City(away)1-0Non League Premier - Southern South
Jul 31, 2026Westfield (Surrey)(home)4-2Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Evesham United win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Chertsey Town win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Jan 24, 2026Evesham United 1-1 Chertsey TownNon League Premier - Southern South
Nov 15, 2025Chertsey Town 4-0 Evesham UnitedNon League Premier - Southern South

Last archived meeting: Evesham United vs Chertsey Town on Jan 24, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Evesham United score 1.3 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Chertsey Town score 1.9 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 61% probability of over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Evesham United1.31.748/1510/15
Chertsey Town1.91.349/159/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Evesham United sit 12th in Non League Premier - Southern South (6 points from 4 matches) and Chertsey Town sit 1st (10 points from 4 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
1Chertsey Town431010410
12Evesham United42028106

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Evesham United vs Chertsey Town?
The Footlab model makes Chertsey Town the favourite at 46%, against 24% for a draw and 30% for Evesham United.
Where and when is Evesham United vs Chertsey Town played?
Evesham United vs Chertsey Town is played on February 13, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at The Spiers & Hartwell Jubilee Stadium, in the Non League Premier - Southern South.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 61% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Evesham United and Chertsey Town

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