Sholing vs Yate Town: prediction and stats
Non League Premier - Southern SouthRegular Season - 32Kick-off on February 13, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Mackoy Stadium, Southampton, Hampshire
The Footlab model makes Sholing the favourite at 44%, against 25% for a draw and 31% for Yate Town. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Sholing vs Yate Town?
A very open match: only 28 Elo points separate Sholing (1,839) and Yate Town (1,811).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Sholing have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Yate Town have 7, 4 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Chertsey Town(home) | 2-4 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Hanwell Town(away) | 0-0 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Poole Town(away) | 1-0 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Bath City(home) | 1-2 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Folkestone Invicta(home) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Bracknell Town(home) | 2-1 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Chertsey Town(away) | 1-1 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Chippenham Town(away) | 1-1 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Gosport Borough(home) | 1-0 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Leamington(away) | 1-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Sholing win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Yate Town win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 10, 2026 | Sholing 2-0 Yate Town | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 9, 2025 | Yate Town 0-0 Sholing | Non League Premier - Southern South |
How many goals should we expect?
Sholing score 1.3 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Yate Town score 1.5 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 59% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sholing | 1.3 | 1.3 | 6 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
| Yate Town | 1.5 | 1.1 | 4 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Sholing sit 17th in Non League Premier - Southern South (4 points from 4 matches) and Yate Town sit 4th (8 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Yate Town | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 8 |
| 17 | Sholing | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 4 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Sholing vs Yate Town?
- The Footlab model makes Sholing the favourite at 44%, against 25% for a draw and 31% for Yate Town.
- Where and when is Sholing vs Yate Town played?
- Sholing vs Yate Town is played on February 13, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Mackoy Stadium, in the Non League Premier - Southern South.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 59% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Feb 13, 2027Havant & WvillevsBath City
- Feb 13, 2027BerkhamstedvsChichester City
- Feb 13, 2027Bracknell TownvsTaunton Town
- Feb 13, 2027Evesham UnitedvsChertsey Town
- Feb 13, 2027Hanwell TownvsPoole Town
- Feb 13, 2027Gosport BoroughvsWimborne Town
- Feb 13, 2027Chippenham TownvsHanworth Villa
- Feb 13, 2027Gloucester CityvsFrome Town