Mamelodi Sundowns vs Polokwane City: prediction and stats
Premier Soccer LeagueRegular Season - 12Kick-off on December 5, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Loftus Versfeld Stadium, Tshwane
The Footlab AI model makes Mamelodi Sundowns the favourite at 70%, against 21% for a draw and 9% for Polokwane City. The most likely score is 2-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.1% of the 5,392 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 11, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Mamelodi Sundowns vs Polokwane City?
Mamelodi Sundowns is a heavy favourite: 2,032 Elo points against 1,687, a 345-point gap.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Mamelodi Sundowns vs Polokwane City
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Mamelodi Sundowns
4-1-3-2- 33C. Mailula
- 12B. León
- 11M. Allende
- 17T. Matthews
- 15B. Aubaas
- 10Nuno Santos
- 42Malibongwe Khoza
- 3K. Ndamane
- 22T. Matuludi
- 6A. Modiba
- 31R. Goss
Polokwane City
4-1-4-1- 29M. Khosa
- 21Manuel Kambala
- 17B. Dlamini
- 18G. Philander
- 47Monty Batlhabane
- 25K. Sebone
- 34L. Nkaki
- 42Surprise Manthosi
- 22E. Ramaja
- 3T. Nkwe
- 50O. Masuluke
Computed on November 11, 2026 at 10:42 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Mamelodi Sundowns have 11 wins, 3 draws and 1 defeat; Polokwane City have 1, 9 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2026 | USM Alger(home) | 1-3 | CAF Super Cup |
| Nov 3, 2026 | Golden Arrows(home) | 1-0 | League Cup |
| Oct 31, 2026 | Durban City(home) | 4-1 | Premier Soccer League |
| Oct 27, 2026 | Marumo Gallants(home) | 1-0 | League Cup |
| Oct 23, 2026 | Wiliete(home) | 1-1 | CAF Champions League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 2026 | TS Galaxy(home) | 0-0 | Premier Soccer League |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Siwelele(home) | 0-0 | League Cup |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Siwelele(away) | 0-1 | Premier Soccer League |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Amazulu(home) | 0-1 | Premier Soccer League |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Kaizer Chiefs(home) | 1-1 | Premier Soccer League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 5 Mamelodi Sundowns wins, 0 draws, 1 Polokwane City win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 8, 2026 | Mamelodi Sundowns 3-2 Polokwane City | 8 Cup |
| May 3, 2026 | Mamelodi Sundowns 3-0 Polokwane City | Premier Soccer League |
| Apr 29, 2026 | Polokwane City 0-1 Mamelodi Sundowns | Premier Soccer League |
| Nov 6, 2024 | Mamelodi Sundowns 2-0 Polokwane City | Premier Soccer League |
| Oct 27, 2024 | Polokwane City 1-0 Mamelodi Sundowns | Premier Soccer League |
| Aug 11, 2024 | Mamelodi Sundowns 1-0 Polokwane City | 8 Cup |
Last archived meeting: Mamelodi Sundowns vs Polokwane City on Aug 8, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Mamelodi Sundowns score 2.1 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Polokwane City score 0.7 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 46% probability of over 2.5 goals and 38% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mamelodi Sundowns | 2.1 | 0.9 | 6 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
| Polokwane City | 0.7 | 1.2 | 5 | 6/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Mamelodi Sundowns sit 1st in Premier Soccer League (26 points from 10 matches) and Polokwane City sit 11th (8 points from 9 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mamelodi Sundowns | 10 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 27 | 9 | 26 |
| 11 | Polokwane City | 9 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 11 | 8 |
A question about Mamelodi Sundowns vs Polokwane City?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Mamelodi Sundowns vs Polokwane City?
- The Footlab AI model makes Mamelodi Sundowns the favourite at 70%, against 21% for a draw and 9% for Polokwane City.
- Where and when is Mamelodi Sundowns vs Polokwane City played?
- Mamelodi Sundowns vs Polokwane City is played on December 5, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Loftus Versfeld Stadium, in the Premier Soccer League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 46% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.1% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.