Orlando Pirates vs Stellenbosch: prediction and stats
Premier Soccer LeagueRegular Season - 12Kick-off on December 5, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Orlando Stadium, Johannesburg, GA
The Footlab model makes Orlando Pirates the favourite at 71%, against 20% for a draw and 9% for Stellenbosch. The most likely score is 2-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Orlando Pirates vs Stellenbosch?
Orlando Pirates starts as the favourite with a 267-point Elo edge (2,026 vs 1,759).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Orlando Pirates have 9 wins, 4 draws and 2 defeats; Stellenbosch have 4, 7 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Sekhukhune United(away) | 1-0 | 8 Cup |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Chippa United(away) | 3-0 | Premier Soccer League |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Amazulu(away) | 1-1 | Premier Soccer League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Durban City(home) | 2-1 | 8 Cup |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Milford FC(home) | 2-0 | Premier Soccer League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 14, 2026 | Marumo Gallants(home) | 3-1 | Premier Soccer League |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Polokwane City(away) | 3-3 | Premier Soccer League |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Amazulu(home) | 0-1 | Premier Soccer League |
| May 23, 2026 | Marumo Gallants(away) | 0-0 | Premier Soccer League |
| May 16, 2026 | Orbit College(home) | 2-0 | Premier Soccer League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Orlando Pirates win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Stellenbosch win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 5, 2026 | Stellenbosch 0-2 Orlando Pirates | Premier Soccer League |
| Sep 13, 2025 | Orlando Pirates 3-0 Stellenbosch | 8 Cup |
| Aug 20, 2025 | Orlando Pirates 1-0 Stellenbosch | Premier Soccer League |
| Mar 11, 2025 | Stellenbosch 0-0 Orlando Pirates | Premier Soccer League |
| Dec 1, 2024 | Orlando Pirates 0-1 Stellenbosch | Premier Soccer League |
| Oct 5, 2024 | Orlando Pirates 3-1 Stellenbosch | 8 Cup |
Last archived meeting: Stellenbosch vs Orlando Pirates on May 5, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Orlando Pirates score 1.5 and concede 0.6 goals per match over their last 15; Stellenbosch score 1.1 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 47% probability of over 2.5 goals and 37% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Orlando Pirates | 1.5 | 0.6 | 8 | 6/15 | 5/15 |
| Stellenbosch | 1.1 | 1.0 | 4 | 8/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Orlando Pirates sit 1st in Premier Soccer League (7 points from 3 matches) and Stellenbosch sit 7th (4 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Orlando Pirates | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 7 |
| 7 | Stellenbosch | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 5 | 4 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Orlando Pirates vs Stellenbosch?
- The Footlab model makes Orlando Pirates the favourite at 71%, against 20% for a draw and 9% for Stellenbosch.
- Where and when is Orlando Pirates vs Stellenbosch played?
- Orlando Pirates vs Stellenbosch is played on December 5, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Orlando Stadium, in the Premier Soccer League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.