Polokwane City vs Golden Arrows: prediction and stats
Premier Soccer LeagueRegular Season - 13Kick-off on December 16, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Old Peter Mokaba Stadium, Pietersburg
The Footlab model makes Golden Arrows the favourite at 38%, against 31% for a draw and 32% for Polokwane City. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Polokwane City vs Golden Arrows?
A very open match: only 78 Elo points separate Polokwane City (1,725) and Golden Arrows (1,803).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Polokwane City have 3 wins, 7 draws and 5 defeats; Golden Arrows have 6, 8 and 1.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | Sekhukhune United(away) | 0-2 | Premier Soccer League |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Stellenbosch(home) | 3-3 | Premier Soccer League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Mamelodi Sundowns(away) | 2-3 | 8 Cup |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Richards Bay(away) | 2-1 | Premier Soccer League |
| May 16, 2026 | Marumo Gallants(home) | 1-1 | Premier Soccer League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Mamelodi Sundowns(away) | 1-0 | 8 Cup |
| Aug 16, 2026 | TS Galaxy(away) | 0-0 | Premier Soccer League |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Durban City(away) | 0-0 | Premier Soccer League |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Kaizer Chiefs(away) | 1-0 | 8 Cup |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Chippa United(home) | 0-0 | Premier Soccer League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Polokwane City win(s), 2 draw(s), 3 Golden Arrows win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 9, 2026 | Golden Arrows 0-0 Polokwane City | Premier Soccer League |
| Sep 17, 2025 | Polokwane City 2-1 Golden Arrows | Premier Soccer League |
| Mar 12, 2025 | Polokwane City 0-1 Golden Arrows | Premier Soccer League |
| Dec 28, 2024 | Golden Arrows 0-0 Polokwane City | Premier Soccer League |
| Mar 10, 2024 | Polokwane City 0-1 Golden Arrows | Premier Soccer League |
| Aug 26, 2023 | Golden Arrows 3-2 Polokwane City | Premier Soccer League |
Last archived meeting: Golden Arrows vs Polokwane City on May 9, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Polokwane City score 0.8 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Golden Arrows score 0.7 and concede 0.5. The model gives a 37% probability of over 2.5 goals and 45% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Polokwane City | 0.8 | 1.1 | 5 | 6/15 | 5/15 |
| Golden Arrows | 0.7 | 0.5 | 11 | 3/15 | 2/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Polokwane City sit 10th in Premier Soccer League (4 points from 3 matches) and Golden Arrows sit 11th (3 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Polokwane City | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 4 |
| 11 | Golden Arrows | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Polokwane City vs Golden Arrows?
- The Footlab model makes Golden Arrows the favourite at 38%, against 31% for a draw and 32% for Polokwane City.
- Where and when is Polokwane City vs Golden Arrows played?
- Polokwane City vs Golden Arrows is played on December 16, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Old Peter Mokaba Stadium, in the Premier Soccer League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 37% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.