Mamelodi Sundowns W vs UWC Ladies: prediction and stats
Super League WomenGroup StageKick-off on October 17, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)
The Footlab AI model makes Mamelodi Sundowns W the favourite at 74%, against 18% for a draw and 8% for UWC Ladies. The most likely score is 2-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.9% of the 1,758 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 9, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Mamelodi Sundowns W vs UWC Ladies?
Mamelodi Sundowns W starts as the favourite with a 119-point Elo edge (1,565 vs 1,446).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Mamelodi Sundowns W vs UWC Ladies
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Mamelodi Sundowns W
4-3-3- 11M. Kgadiete
- 9N. Majiya
- 15L. Kgasago
- 8K. Dhlamini
- 21N. Mthandi
- 10B. Rabale
- 2T. Makhubela
- 14L. Ramalepe
- 5A. Hadebe
- 4T. Letsoso
- 1A. Dlamini
UWC Ladies
Not enough data to predict the UWC Ladies lineup.
Computed on October 9, 2026 at 02:32 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 13 matches in all competitions, Mamelodi Sundowns W have 11 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats; UWC Ladies have 7, 1 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 4, 2026 | Richmond United W(away) | 8-0 | Super League Women |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Copperbelt Ladies W(away) | 4-0 | Super League Women |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Pretoria U. W(home) | 3-0 | Super League Women |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Diepkloof W(away) | 1-0 | Super League Women |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Stellenbosch W(home) | 1-0 | Super League Women |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 3, 2026 | Pretoria U. W(home) | 0-1 | Super League Women |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Stellenbosch W(away) | 3-0 | Super League Women |
| Sep 12, 2026 | TS Galaxy W(home) | 3-0 | Super League Women |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Richmond United W(home) | 3-0 | Super League Women |
| Aug 23, 2026 | Diepkloof W(away) | 1-0 | Super League Women |
What does the head-to-head say?
In the last meeting: 1 Mamelodi Sundowns W win, 0 draws, 0 UWC Ladies wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 4, 2026 | UWC Ladies 0-4 Mamelodi Sundowns W | Super League Women |
Last archived meeting: UWC Ladies vs Mamelodi Sundowns W on Jul 4, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Mamelodi Sundowns W score 3.3 and concede 0.2 goals per match over their last 13; UWC Ladies score 1.2 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 39% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mamelodi Sundowns W | 3.3 | 0.2 | 11 | 1/13 | 9/13 |
| UWC Ladies | 1.2 | 1.0 | 7 | 1/13 | 5/13 |
Over the last 13 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Mamelodi Sundowns W sit 1st in Super League Women (15 points from 5 matches) and UWC Ladies sit 8th (10 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mamelodi Sundowns W | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 21 | 0 | 15 |
| 8 | UWC Ladies | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 8 | 10 |
A question about Mamelodi Sundowns W vs UWC Ladies?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Mamelodi Sundowns W vs UWC Ladies?
- The Footlab AI model makes Mamelodi Sundowns W the favourite at 74%, against 18% for a draw and 8% for UWC Ladies.
- Where and when is Mamelodi Sundowns W vs UWC Ladies played?
- Mamelodi Sundowns W vs UWC Ladies is played on October 17, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC), in the Super League Women.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.9% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Sep 4, 2026First Touch W1-0Ezemvelo W
- Sep 5, 2026University of Fort Hare W2-0City Lads W
- Sep 5, 2026Copperbelt Ladies W2-0Diepkloof W
- Sep 5, 2026UWC Ladies3-0Richmond United W
- Sep 5, 2026JVW FC W2-1Tshwane University W
- Sep 6, 2026University of Johannesburg W1-0Ramatlaohle W
- Sep 6, 2026TS Galaxy W0-3Pretoria U. W
- Sep 6, 2026Mamelodi Sundowns W1-0Stellenbosch W