Manacor vs Andratx: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 11Group 11 - 5Kick-off on October 4, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Poliesportiu Municipal Na Capellera, Manacor
The Footlab model makes Manacor the favourite at 60%, against 23% for a draw and 18% for Andratx. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Manacor vs Andratx?
A very open match: only 86 Elo points separate Manacor (1,901) and Andratx (1,814).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Manacor have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Andratx have 3, 4 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 7, 2026 | Peña Deportiva(home) | 1-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 |
| May 30, 2026 | Peña Deportiva(away) | 1-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 |
| May 23, 2026 | Llosetense(home) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 |
| May 17, 2026 | Llosetense(away) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 |
| May 9, 2026 | Mallorca II(home) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 3, 2026 | Atlètic Lleida(home) | 3-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Ibiza Islas Pitiusas(away) | 2-2 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Alcoyano(home) | 0-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Atlético Baleares(away) | 1-5 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Apr 5, 2026 | Valencia II(home) | 5-3 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 1 Manacor win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Andratx win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 14, 2023 | Manacor 0-4 Andratx | Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 |
| Sep 10, 2022 | Andratx 1-0 Manacor | Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 |
| Feb 27, 2021 | Manacor 2-2 Andratx | Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 |
| Nov 21, 2020 | Andratx 0-1 Manacor | Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 |
| Nov 2, 2019 | Andratx 5-0 Manacor | Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 |
How many goals should we expect?
Manacor score 1.7 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Andratx score 1.1 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 56% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Manacor | 1.7 | 1.5 | 4 | 11/15 | 10/15 |
| Andratx | 1.1 | 1.9 | 4 | 7/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Manacor | 34 | 25 | 4 | 5 | 71 | 38 | 79 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Manacor vs Andratx?
- The Footlab model makes Manacor the favourite at 60%, against 23% for a draw and 18% for Andratx.
- Where and when is Manacor vs Andratx played?
- Manacor vs Andratx is played on October 4, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Poliesportiu Municipal Na Capellera, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 11.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 56% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.