Porreres vs Santanyí: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 11Group 11 - 5Kick-off on October 4, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)
The Footlab model makes Porreres the favourite at 53%, against 25% for a draw and 22% for Santanyí. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Porreres vs Santanyí?
A very open match: only 46 Elo points separate Porreres (1,785) and Santanyí (1,739).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Porreres have 3 wins, 2 draws and 10 defeats; Santanyí have 5, 5 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 3, 2026 | Alcoyano(home) | 0-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Poblense(away) | 1-3 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Atlético Baleares(home) | 0-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Barbastro(away) | 0-2 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Apr 5, 2026 | Barcelona B(home) | 1-5 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 10, 2026 | Felanitx(away) | 1-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 |
| May 3, 2026 | Peña Deportiva(home) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Portmany(away) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Rotlet Molinar(home) | 2-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 |
| Apr 11, 2026 | Collerense(away) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Porreres win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Santanyí win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 19, 2025 | Porreres 3-1 Santanyí | Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 |
| Dec 7, 2024 | Santanyí 2-2 Porreres | Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 |
How many goals should we expect?
Porreres score 0.7 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Santanyí score 1.4 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Porreres | 0.7 | 1.6 | 1 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
| Santanyí | 1.4 | 1.5 | 2 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Santanyí | 34 | 11 | 8 | 15 | 42 | 58 | 41 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Porreres vs Santanyí?
- The Footlab model makes Porreres the favourite at 53%, against 25% for a draw and 22% for Santanyí.
- Where and when is Porreres vs Santanyí played?
- Porreres vs Santanyí is played on October 4, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC), in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 11.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.