Manacor vs Migjorn: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 11Group 11 - 3Kick-off on September 20, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Poliesportiu Municipal Na Capellera, Manacor
The Footlab model makes Manacor the favourite at 83%, against 11% for a draw and 5% for Migjorn. The most likely score is 3-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Manacor vs Migjorn?
Manacor is a heavy favourite: 1,901 Elo points against 1,580 — a 321-point gap.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Manacor have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Migjorn have 2, 3 and 10.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 7, 2026 | Peña Deportiva(home) | 1-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 |
| May 30, 2026 | Peña Deportiva(away) | 1-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 |
| May 23, 2026 | Llosetense(home) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 |
| May 17, 2026 | Llosetense(away) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 |
| May 9, 2026 | Mallorca II(home) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 11, 2025 | Porreres(home) | 1-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 |
| May 3, 2025 | Binissalem(away) | 0-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 |
| Apr 30, 2025 | Santanyí(home) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 |
| Apr 26, 2025 | Portmany(home) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 |
| Apr 19, 2025 | Manacor(away) | 0-6 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 2 Manacor win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Migjorn win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 19, 2025 | Manacor 6-0 Migjorn | Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 |
| Dec 7, 2024 | Migjorn 2-3 Manacor | Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 |
How many goals should we expect?
Manacor score 1.7 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Migjorn score 0.6 and concede 2.5. The model gives a 73% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Manacor | 1.7 | 1.5 | 4 | 11/15 | 10/15 |
| Migjorn | 0.6 | 2.5 | 1 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Manacor | 34 | 25 | 4 | 5 | 71 | 38 | 79 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Manacor vs Migjorn?
- The Footlab model makes Manacor the favourite at 83%, against 11% for a draw and 5% for Migjorn.
- Where and when is Manacor vs Migjorn played?
- Manacor vs Migjorn is played on September 20, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Poliesportiu Municipal Na Capellera, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 11.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 73% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.