Manchester City U21 vs Borussia M'gladbach II: prediction and stats
Premier League International CupGroup StageKick-off on January 27, 2027 at 07:00 PM (UTC)Ewen Fields, Hyde, Cheshire
The Footlab model makes Borussia M'gladbach II the favourite at 41%, against 24% for a draw and 36% for Manchester City U21. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Manchester City U21 vs Borussia M'gladbach II?
A very open match: only 15 Elo points separate Manchester City U21 (1,955) and Borussia M'gladbach II (1,939).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Manchester City U21 have 11 wins, 0 draws and 4 defeats; Borussia M'gladbach II have 6, 3 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 19, 2026 | Mansfield Town(away) | 4-1 | EFL Trophy |
| May 8, 2026 | Manchester United U21(home) | 3-4 | Premier League 2 Division One |
| May 1, 2026 | Aston Villa U21(away) | 3-2 | Premier League 2 Division One |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Arsenal U21(home) | 3-1 | Premier League 2 Division One |
| Apr 13, 2026 | Norwich City U21(home) | 3-0 | Premier League 2 Division One |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Sportfreunde Siegen(away) | 0-0 | Regionalliga - West |
| Aug 15, 2026 | FC Bocholt(home) | 2-3 | Regionalliga - West |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Paderborn II(away) | 3-1 | Regionalliga - West |
| Aug 1, 2026 | SV Rodinghausen(home) | 2-0 | Regionalliga - West |
| Jul 18, 2026 | Fortuna Köln(away) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
How many goals should we expect?
Manchester City U21 score 3.2 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Borussia M'gladbach II score 1.9 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 66% probability of over 2.5 goals and 67% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Manchester City U21 | 3.2 | 1.1 | 6 | 8/15 | 13/15 |
| Borussia M'gladbach II | 1.9 | 1.5 | 4 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Manchester City U21 vs Borussia M'gladbach II?
- The Footlab model makes Borussia M'gladbach II the favourite at 41%, against 24% for a draw and 36% for Manchester City U21.
- Where and when is Manchester City U21 vs Borussia M'gladbach II played?
- Manchester City U21 vs Borussia M'gladbach II is played on January 27, 2027 at 07:00 PM (UTC) at Ewen Fields, in the Premier League International Cup.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 66% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Aug 19, 2026Sunderland U211-1Jong PSV U21
- Aug 26, 2026Fulham U21vsBorussia Dortmund II
- Sep 2, 2026Aston Villa U21vsBrondby U21
- Sep 2, 2026Crystal Palace U21vsParis Saint-Germain U21
- Sep 2, 2026Everton U21vsMilan II
- Sep 15, 2026Tottenham Hotspur U21vsDinamo Zagreb U21
- Sep 15, 2026Aston Villa U21vsReal Sociedad II
- Sep 16, 2026Stoke City U21vsBorussia M'gladbach II