Manchester City vs Aston Villa: result 4-1 and analysis
Premier LeagueRegular Season - 8Kick-off on October 15, 2011 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Etihad Stadium, Manchester
Full time
What was the result of Manchester City vs Aston Villa?
Manchester City won 4-1 on October 15, 2011.
Goalscorers
- 28′M. BalotelliManchester City
- 47′Adam JohnsonManchester City
- 52′V. KompanyManchester City
- 65′Stephen WarnockAston Villa
- 71′J. MilnerManchester City
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Manchester City have 11 wins, 2 draws and 2 defeats; Aston Villa have 6, 7 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 1, 2011 | Blackburn(away) | 4-0 | Premier League |
| Sep 27, 2011 | Bayern München(away) | 0-2 | UEFA Champions League |
| Sep 24, 2011 | Everton(home) | 2-0 | Premier League |
| Sep 21, 2011 | Birmingham(home) | 2-0 | League Cup |
| Sep 18, 2011 | Fulham(away) | 2-2 | Premier League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 1, 2011 | Wigan(home) | 2-0 | Premier League |
| Sep 25, 2011 | QPR(away) | 1-1 | Premier League |
| Sep 20, 2011 | Bolton(home) | 0-2 | League Cup |
| Sep 17, 2011 | Newcastle(home) | 1-1 | Premier League |
| Sep 10, 2011 | Everton(away) | 2-2 | Premier League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Manchester City win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Aston Villa win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 22, 2011 | Aston Villa 1-0 Manchester City | Premier League |
| Dec 28, 2010 | Manchester City 4-0 Aston Villa | Premier League |
Last archived meeting: Aston Villa vs Manchester City on Jan 22, 2011
How many goals should we expect?
Manchester City score 2.3 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Aston Villa score 1.3 and concede 0.9.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Manchester City | 2.3 | 0.7 | 8 | 6/15 | 9/15 |
| Aston Villa | 1.3 | 0.9 | 5 | 9/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Manchester City sit 6th in Premier League (3 points from 1 matches) and Aston Villa sit 20th (0 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Manchester City | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 20 | Aston Villa | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 0 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy